$BTC Factors Influencing Bitcoin in 2025
Based on information from the web and market trends:
• Positive:
• Institutional Support: Acceptance from large organizations continues to be a key driver. For example, Bitcoin ETF funds in the U.S. have attracted significant inflows, with forecasts from Galaxy suggesting that spot Bitcoin ETF funds will exceed $250 billion AUM in 2025. MicroStrategy (led by Michael Saylor) continues to accumulate BTC, holding 538,200 BTC (2.53% of total supply) as of 04/21/2025, as illustrated in the wall design.
• Crypto-Friendly Policies: The Trump administration promoted policies supporting Bitcoin, such as considering Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset of the U.S. (according to Euronews and Forbes). This could reduce circulating supply and drive up prices.
• Halving Effect: Bitcoin underwent halving in April 2024, and historically, the post-halving period often records strong growth. Bitcoin Magazine predicts that February 2025 could see average returns of 40% based on previous post-halving years.
• Negative:
• Volatility and Corrections: Some analysts (such as Bitpanda) warn that Bitcoin could drop to $74,000, or even lower if faced with regulatory pressure or a liquidity crisis. The market is also concerned about geopolitical tensions, such as the U.S.-China conflict (mentioned in the wall design), which could lead investors to shift to safer assets.
• Market Sentiment: The Fear & Greed Index is currently at 39 (Fear) (according to Changelly), indicating that investors are cautious. Some posts on X also highlight the “painful” sentiment of holders when the market is stagnant or correcting.
