Although Bitcoin is trading about $20,000 below its all-time high reached at the beginning of 2025, investor interest remains vibrant. Experts indicate that despite global economic turmoil, Bitcoin may maintain its stable stance. The trade tensions between the U.S. and China, uncertainties in interest policies, and rising inflation concerns are among the main factors shaping market direction. Especially the $100,000 threshold stands out as a psychological barrier.
Trezor Purchases, Liquidity, and Interest Uncertainties
The U.S. Treasury's preparation to repurchase long-term debt instruments has created expectations for increased liquidity in the markets. An abundance of liquidity typically directs investors towards higher-risk assets, and the cryptocurrency market may also be affected by this trend. However, due to rising tariff costs and associated inflationary pressures, the likelihood of such purchases occurring is seen by experts as a low-probability scenario. This also emerges as a significant uncertainty factor affecting investor decisions.
On the other hand, the U.S. President's calls for interest rate cuts and criticisms of central bank officials are igniting fluctuations in the market. The contradictory statements of Fed officials are making it difficult for investors to determine the direction. In this complex environment, Bitcoin's price movements are becoming a direct reflection of economic policies.
BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes emphasized that the current price levels are 'discounted.' Hayes pointed out that 'This may be the last opportunity to buy Bitcoin below $100,000.' It was noted that he will elaborate on this view in a blog post expected to be published over the weekend.
Experts Highlight Bitcoin's Resistance
Market analysts state that despite the increasing economic stress conditions globally, Bitcoin is exhibiting stability. The potential rekindling of the trade war between the U.S. and China is laying the groundwork for volatility in the cryptocurrency market, while Bitcoin's rapid recovery is being interpreted as a noteworthy development. According to Bitfinex analysts, this situation shows that Bitcoin is not just a speculative tool but also stands out as a protective element against macroeconomic risks.
The increasing tendency of investors to view Bitcoin as a safe haven is making it an alternative to traditional financial instruments. This trend becomes more pronounced, especially during periods dominated by high inflation and uncertainty in interest policies. Analysts argue that investors should focus on long-term potential rather than short-term fluctuations.
The future of the cryptocurrency market is largely shaped by investor behaviors and sensitivity to global developments. The unpredictability of economic policies forces investors to act cautiously, while assets with limited supply, like Bitcoin, stand out in this process. However, every investment decision must be evaluated individually within this continuously changing global equation.