Trump's tariff policies shake global markets
With Donald Trump returning to the American political arena in 2025 and announcing new tariffs on imports, the global economy entered a state of anxiety and uncertainty. This impact extended to the cryptocurrency market, where Bitcoin and other digital currencies witnessed sharp fluctuations in the early days following the announcement.
Nevertheless, many analysts have begun to see these policies as an opportunity for Bitcoin to rise as one of the most important hedge assets amid inflation and dollar instability. How does this affect the future of cryptocurrencies?
Direct impact: Short-term decline followed by potential recovery
When Trump announced the increase in tariffs, markets initially reacted negatively, with the price of Bitcoin falling by 5-10% within a few days due to:
• Investors' fear of economic growth slowdown.
• The cryptocurrency market is partially correlated with traditional markets such as stocks.
• Some investors selling their risky assets (like crypto) in search of safe havens.
But soon the market began to recover, as traders realized that Bitcoin might benefit from this crisis in the long term.
Why might tariffs drive the purchase of Bitcoin?
1. Weak dollar and rising inflation
• Tariffs usually lead to higher prices for imported goods, increasing inflation.
• When the dollar loses its value, investors look for alternatives that preserve value such as gold and Bitcoin.
• Historically, the price of Bitcoin has risen during periods of high inflation (such as 2021-2022).
2. Bitcoin as "digital gold" in times of crisis
• As Bitcoin is limited in quantity (only 21 million units) and not controlled by governments, it is viewed as an alternative to gold.
• During trade wars and geopolitical conflicts, investors tend to hedge with assets that are uncorrelated with traditional systems.
• Some countries suffering from currency depreciation (such as Turkey and Argentina) are witnessing an increase in Bitcoin adoption as an alternative solution.
3. Growth in interest in decentralized finance (DeFi)
• As trade tensions escalate, the demand for alternative financial systems not controlled by governments may increase.
• Blockchain and cryptocurrencies could see greater growth as a means of international transactions without tariff restrictions.
Future outlook: Will Bitcoin continue to rise?
If protectionist policies continue and trade wars escalate, we might witness two scenarios:
1. Increased demand for Bitcoin as a safe haven, which could push the price to new record levels.
2. Sharp short-term fluctuations due to market reactions, but with an overall upward trend in the long run.
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Summary: Investment opportunity in times of crisis
Ultimately, while Trump's tariff definitions caused temporary disruption, they may reinforce Bitcoin's position as a hedge asset against inflation and a weak dollar. Smart investors may take advantage of any dips to buy Bitcoin before a potential surge.
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