【BTC Latest Trend Analysis｜Evening Strategy on April 21】

Current Situation

BTC entered a volatile adjustment after breaking through 87,400, with the main force completing the classic SMC model of 'trap shorts to accumulate positions + rally', indicating clear bullish control.

Core Analysis

Structural Judgment

Short trap completed: a drop below 82,000 triggered short stop-loss, and the main force strongly rallied after accumulating positions between 81,800-82,300, confirming the reversal: a large bullish candle engulfing the previous structure, breaking through the previous high resistance. Current Stage: after the rally, volatility is expected, the main force may either rally while volatile or create a false breakout.

Strategy Recommendations

🔻 Prioritize Long Positions (Buy the Dip)

Entry: Pullback to the 86,400-86,600 range (bullish defense zone) Stop-loss: exit immediately below 86,100 Target: 87,800 (next high point) → 88,500-88,800 (previous high supply zone)

🔼 Alternative Short Positions (High Position Trap)

Trigger: Price quickly retracts after rising to 88,000, forming a large bearish candle engulfing Entry: 87,900-88,300 range (15-minute reversal pattern confirmation) Stop-loss: exit immediately above 88,700 Target: 87,000 (mid-axis support) → 86,200 (key defense line)

Key Levels

Bullish Defense Line: 86,400-86,600 Bearish Pressure: 88,500-88,800 (potential selling zone for the main force) Central Support: 87,000

Risk Control Tips

Do not go against the trend before it reverses, suggest keeping position size within 30%, strictly set stop-loss, and be cautious of false breakouts.