Rising U.S.-China tensions often lead to increased demand for safe-haven assets like gold (XAU/USD). As geopolitical uncertainty escalates, investors typically move away from riskier assets and seek the stability of gold, driving its price higher. Trade disputes, military posturing, or sanctions between the two economic giants can weaken global risk sentiment, causing the U.S. dollar to fluctuate and boosting gold's appeal. Additionally, concerns over global economic stability due to strained relations can increase gold buying from central banks and institutions. Overall, heightened U.S.-China tensions generally support a bullish outlook for XAU/USD in the short to medium term.

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