#USChinaTensions Long-Term Scenarios and Predictions

The trajectory of crypto markets hinges on trade resolution or escalation:

Bullish Case: A U.S.-China trade deal could normalize supply chains, reduce inflation, and boost Bitcoin to $100,000+ by late 2025, driven by renewed institutional and retail interest .

Bearish Risks: Prolonged tensions may extend the "crypto winter," with analysts like Mike McGlone warning of a potential drop to $10,000 in a worst-case macroeconomic reset .

Regulatory Developments: The SEC’s disbanding of its crypto enforcement team and pro-crypto legislation (e.g., Arizona’s mining protections) add regulatory tailwinds .