Bitcoin Outlook for This Week (April 21-27, 2025)

——The hexagram warns, funds are at play, key nodes need to guard against pullbacks

1. Six-line hexagram deduction

Main hexagram: Fire and Thunder Shihe (Xun Palace)

Hexagram interpretation: Fire and Thunder Shihe symbolizes that the current market faces pressure after reaching new highs, echoing BTC's short-term resistance after breaking $87,000. The fourth line activates on April 24, corresponding to sudden policy or regulatory news disturbances, similar to SEC actions or Federal Reserve dynamics, which may trigger violent fluctuations; the fifth line's movement (April 25) combined with the Qimen Li Palace signal requires close attention to the controlling actions of the operators and any sudden negative news.

Change of hexagram: Li is Fire

Li fire appearing in dual means that the market is likely to cool quickly after a period of excitement. If it cannot effectively hold above $88,000, there is a high probability of a rapid pullback to the $85,000-$86,000 area.

2. Qimen Dunjia Time and Space Pattern (April 21, Year of Yi Si, Month of Geng Chen, Day of Geng Shen)

Core signal:

The value symbol of the heavenly star in the Kun Palace (Earth), combined with the Life Gate and Wu Earth, shows that institutions are actively supporting at the bottom, having certain bottom-supporting capabilities. However, the 'Xin + Yi' structure also conceals the intention of the main force to repeatedly pull and tug, making adjustments under divergence easy to magnify.
Dingqi is in the Kan (Water) Palace, encountering the Surprise Gate and Nine Heavens. If the technical aspect breaks through, emotions will become extreme, especially on April 22 (Xin You Day) when high-leverage funds face liquidation risks, leading to significant volatility.
Key time window:

April 22 (Xin You Day): The official ghost line in the hexagram is impulsive, and the price is expected to test $89,000, but will quickly fall back afterward, showing a pin bar pattern.
April 25 (Jia Zi Day): CME futures delivery point, Kan water is being restrained, panic may spread, and the lowest may not exclude seeing $84,000.
3. Technical and on-chain data analysis

Multi-cycle trend:

Daily: The MACD golden cross is still present, but the RSI is approaching the overbought zone (68). If it breaks above $88,000 with decreasing volume, it will trigger profit-taking and selling pressure.
4-hour: The Bollinger Bands are opening (support at $84,000-$89,000), the mid-band at $86,500 is both strong support and a short-term divide between bulls and bears. If it falls below this, the target will be $84,000.
On-chain dynamics:

Signals of miner exit are strengthening, with the total network hashrate hitting a new high (above 1,000 EH/s), and the 7-day outflow surged to 8,000 BTC, increasing the probability of a short-term dump.
Although ETF funds have flowed in (a net inflow of $120 million in a single day), the total holding ratio is only 5.71%, with limited new strength and a slowdown in institutional accumulation.
4. Strategy deduction and operational advice

Market analysis:

First half of the week (April 21-23): Under the support of halving expectations and ETF inflows, Bitcoin may once again challenge $88,000-$89,000, but be alert to a brief drop to $86,000 on the 22nd.
Second half of the week (April 24-27): The Li fire hexagram trend weakens. If it falls below $86,500 and trading volume remains low, it may drop toward the $84,000-$85,000 range.
Practical advice:

Bullish operation: Gradually take profits above $88,000, and decisively stop losses if it falls below $86,500. If it approaches $84,000, you can diversify your entry, controlling within 15% light positions to bet on a rebound.
Bearish operation: The $89,000-$90,000 range is suitable for hedge layout, looking down to $86,000/$84,000. If it unexpectedly breaks through $91,000, then exit all short positions and observe.
Metaphysical response:

Shihe moving line hides danger, Li fire reflects bearish sentiment.
Kun position Life Gate mainly supports the bottom, while Kan water's turbulence is likely to wash out positions.
Both fourth and fifth lines are difficult to pass; maintain integrity and wait for the right time without clinging to highs.
Copper Pi Xiu suppresses northeast, computer blue wave ensures peace.

Friendly reminder: Pay close attention to the important meetings of the SEC and the Federal Reserve on April 25 this week. If they release hawkish tendencies or negative news related to Ethereum ETFs, BTC is likely to oscillate and weaken accordingly; quick trades are advisable, with strict position control.

——Invest cautiously, stay clear-headed, it's better to miss out than to chase high with heavy positions.