Analysis of Bitcoin Investment Strategies under Interest Rate Cut Expectations

Abstract: This article explores the correlation between interest rate cut expectations and Bitcoin investment, analyzes Bitcoin trends and key points under different interest rate cut frequencies, and provides investment strategy recommendations.

Recently, the financial market is closely watching the June 19 interest rate cut node, with expectations for rate cuts causing undercurrents in the market. If there are only 2 rate cuts in 2025, a peak may occur three to four months after the June rate cut, and investors should decisively escape the peak; if there are more than 3 rate cuts, economic recession pressure becomes prominent, and Bitcoin's rise in June may be a bear market rebound, strongly pushing to 92K - 96K, or weakly stopping at 90K.

The 90K - 100K range has a high concentration of trapped positions and the main force has exited, making it suitable for shorting; 67K serves as the micro-strategy holding cost line and can be used as a reference for bottom fishing. In comparison, gold shows significant advantages under various economic scenarios.

Operationally, Bitcoin falling below 80K can allow for accumulation of BTC and SOL; short-term attempts to short can be made at 86100, 87200, and 88000 points. At the same time, it should be noted that the Trump-themed Dogecoin, Conan, although having potential, carries investment risks that cannot be ignored.

Paper Two: Research on Interest Rate Cut Expectations and Bitcoin Price Fluctuations

Abstract: Focusing on interest rate cut expectations, this study examines their impact on Bitcoin prices, clarifying key points and investment highlights.

The interest rate cut expectations for 2025 are strong, with the June 19 rate cut receiving significant attention. The impact of different interest rate cut frequencies on Bitcoin varies greatly: with 2 rate cuts, subsequent attention should be paid to peak signals; with more than 3 rate cuts, the upward space for Bitcoin is limited.

In the 90K - 100K range, there is a high concentration of trapped positions, providing an opportunity to short; the micro-strategy holding cost line at 67K is an important reference for bottom fishing. In the current market environment, gold investment value stands out.

In terms of investment strategies, if Bitcoin falls below 80K in the next month, it can be bought on dips; short-term attention can be paid to shorting opportunities at 86100 - 88000 points. Additionally, the emerging Trump-themed Dogecoin, Conan, although receiving attention, poses high risks in virtual currency investment, and investors need to make cautious decisions. 币安王牌KOL交流群，点击加入！ #加密市场反弹 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC #波场ETF #美联储独立性 #美联储独立性 $BTC $ETH $SOL