财经少华
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Is there still a bull market in the crypto world?
For many friends questioning the current market, here is a simple analysis:
1. Possibility of a Bull Market
Short-term: A bull market is possible, but limited. High interest rates from the Federal Reserve (only a 13.2% probability of a rate cut in May) suppress liquidity, with recent price increases or corrections.
Medium-term: After the halving in 2024, funds and sentiment need to accumulate. If liquidity improves in 2025 (such as through interest rate cuts), a bull market may occur.
Long-term: The value of blockchain remains, and the bull market cycle may continue, but regulatory risks need to be vigilant.
2. Current Views
News-driven price increases: For instance, strategic reserves calling for orders, it's easy to 'buy the expectation, sell the fact', with high correction risks, similar to historical cases.
Stock game: Without incremental funds, trading volume has not recovered, making it difficult to sustain a bull market. Slow accumulation is needed rather than quick in-and-out trades.
Stabilizing the market: A volatility-driven speculative market is not beneficial for long-term investments; a more mature market structure is needed.
3. Market Judgments
Short-term: Overbought signals indicate correction risks, caution is advisable.
Medium-term: Improved liquidity may bring opportunities, but the pace is relatively slow.
Long-term: Projects with strong fundamentals have more potential.
4. Recommendations
Risk management: Control positions, set stop-losses, and pay attention to support levels.
Observation indicators: On-chain data, macro signals (such as Federal Reserve dynamics).
Long-term perspective: Focus on quality projects and wait for stable entry points.
Summary:
The potential for a bull market in the crypto world still exists, but current price increases are mostly news-driven, with high correction risks. A true bull market requires incremental funds and fundamental support, with possible phase opportunities in 2025. Stay cautious and pay attention to market changes.
For many friends questioning the current market, here is a simple analysis:
1. Possibility of a Bull Market
Short-term: A bull market is possible, but limited. High interest rates from the Federal Reserve (only a 13.2% probability of a rate cut in May) suppress liquidity, with recent price increases or corrections.
Medium-term: After the halving in 2024, funds and sentiment need to accumulate. If liquidity improves in 2025 (such as through interest rate cuts), a bull market may occur.
Long-term: The value of blockchain remains, and the bull market cycle may continue, but regulatory risks need to be vigilant.
2. Current Views
News-driven price increases: For instance, strategic reserves calling for orders, it's easy to 'buy the expectation, sell the fact', with high correction risks, similar to historical cases.
Stock game: Without incremental funds, trading volume has not recovered, making it difficult to sustain a bull market. Slow accumulation is needed rather than quick in-and-out trades.
Stabilizing the market: A volatility-driven speculative market is not beneficial for long-term investments; a more mature market structure is needed.
3. Market Judgments
Short-term: Overbought signals indicate correction risks, caution is advisable.
Medium-term: Improved liquidity may bring opportunities, but the pace is relatively slow.
Long-term: Projects with strong fundamentals have more potential.
4. Recommendations
Risk management: Control positions, set stop-losses, and pay attention to support levels.
Observation indicators: On-chain data, macro signals (such as Federal Reserve dynamics).
Long-term perspective: Focus on quality projects and wait for stable entry points.
Summary:
The potential for a bull market in the crypto world still exists, but current price increases are mostly news-driven, with high correction risks. A true bull market requires incremental funds and fundamental support, with possible phase opportunities in 2025. Stay cautious and pay attention to market changes.
Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No financial advice. May include sponsored content. See T&Cs.
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