Official Trump Coin ($TRUMP ), launched just before Donald Trump’s 2025 inauguration, surged to $75.35 within days, capturing massive attention from retail traders and meme coin enthusiasts alike. But the hype was short-lived. The token now trades around $8.17, marking a drop of over 90% from its peak. With a market cap of approximately $1.63 billion and daily volume exceeding $370 million, $TRUMP still ranks within the top 70 coins on CoinGecko, but volatility remains high. A major factor driving the recent downtrend is the scheduled token unlock that began on April 18: around 400,000 tokens are set to be released daily for two years, totaling 40 million tokens, or a 20% increase in circulating supply. This steady dilution poses significant sell pressure over time.

Price predictions vary widely. CoinCodex forecasts an average price of $133 and a possible high of $233 in 2025, while ICO Bench sees a more conservative target of $100. Binance-related analysis suggests a modest 5% gain from current levels, projecting a price of around $10.30. Still, all projections are highly speculative and heavily influenced by political developments. The coin’s association with Trump opens the door to regulatory scrutiny, and critics have raised ethical concerns about the family’s increasing crypto involvement. According to Reuters, small investors have already lost over $2 billion on $TRUMP, despite the project generating nearly $100 million in trading fees.

In summary, $TRUMP is a high-risk, high-volatility meme asset tied directly to political sentiment. While it offers speculative upside during election season and media cycles, it also carries major downside from token dilution and reputational risk. Caution is advised.

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