This is not a crypto chart.

It's a commodity futures chart from the U.S. market for orange juice (symbol: OJ).

A sharp drop in commodities like this is a clear sign of weakening inflation.

Here's an important point:

When oil, copper, and wheat prices fall together, it usually means companies will spend less on transportation and raw materials.

This can lead to lower prices for consumer goods, meaning lower inflation.

Falling commodity prices make products and services cheaper.

That’s why economists see commodity declines as a sign that inflation will likely drop in the future.

I expect interest rate cuts to begin at the upcoming meeting in May, along with steps toward quantitative easing.

But there’s something important to note:

While a drop in commodity prices helps lower inflation, if prices keep crashing, it could push the economy into a recession.

Prices shouldn't fall too much or rise too fast — we need stability after this drop.

Another key point:

Looking at the current commodity trends, there’s no sign of stagflation.

If a recession comes, it will more likely be deflationary based on how essential commodities are performing.

After analyzing weekly charts of most commodities, they're now in reversal zones or moving sideways — not yet in a recession phase.

The full thread is on my Twitter, with charts for:

Oil, Wheat, Corn, Rice, Soybeans, Cocoa, Coffee, Sugar, Livestock, Feed, and Gas.

And Allah knows best.

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