$BTC

Predicting when the stock market will return to a bull market or continue in a bear market is a complex issue, as the stock market is influenced by various factors including economic conditions, policy adjustments, market sentiment, and more. Based on historical data and expert analysis, the A-share market indeed shows cyclical characteristics of alternating bull and bear markets, but it is difficult to accurately predict the specific timing of each bull-bear transition.

1. Historical Bull-Bear Cycles:

• The A-share market has experienced ten bear markets in history, and is currently in the eleventh round of a bear market.

• Among the first ten bear markets, the longest one lasted over four years.

• The current bear market started in June 2015 and has lasted more than four years, nearing the historical longest cycle.

• The duration of bull markets is gradually shortening, while bear market cycles are lengthening.

2. Current Market Conditions: #巨鲸动向

• Although the index is at 2800 points, the actual level may be lower, close to the valuation bottom.

• The policy bottom has appeared, and the market may be in the bottom region.

• There is a lack of significant improvement in fundamental factors, such as new stock issuances, adjustments to stamp duty, etc.

3. Conditions for Bull Market Return: #币安Alpha上新

• The market needs positive changes in fundamentals, such as economic recovery and improved corporate profitability.

• At the policy level, there may need to be more substantial favorable measures, such as exemptions on stamp duty and restrictions on shareholder reductions.

• The introduction of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board has brought new opportunities, but in the short term it may divert funds and increase market uncertainty.

4. Uncertain Factors: #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC

• Economic cyclical adjustments may affect corporate profitability and market confidence.

• The effectiveness of technological innovation and policy reforms needs time to verify.

• The global economic environment and international situation also have significant impacts on the A-share market. In summary, although the current market may be in the bottom region, the return of a bull market still requires improvements in fundamentals and further policy support. Investors should remain patient, pay attention to market dynamics, and manage risks effectively.

If you want to seize this bull market, it is definitely too late to learn and implement it now; it is best to have someone guide you quickly through the basics.