As cryptocurrency markets catch their breath after a period of high volatility, all eyes turn to three giants: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple. This week promises to be decisive, with critical technical levels and macroeconomic factors that may redefine market dynamics. Amid hopes for advances and risks of correction, here is what could shake up the portfolios.
Bitcoin flirts with $84,000, but it is the symbolic milestone of $85,000 that attracts attention. This level, aligned with the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA), is both a major technical resistance and a psychological barrier.
Bitcoin (BTC) has regained short-term bullish momentum, moving in a range between $82,000 and $90,000, driven by improved macroeconomic sentiment that strengthens investor confidence.
The recent break of the three-month downtrend at $84,900 marks a turn for Bitcoin: the influx of institutional flows, exchange outflows, and the continued accumulation of ETFs signal the return of long-term buyers. The RSI rises to 58, and the MACD suggests an imminent bullish crossover.
The dynamics are positive, but the barrier of $85,000 remains a short-term resistance. Profit-taking could trigger a drop towards $82,000, a solid support zone.
At this point, everything will depend on the buyers' ability to maintain pressure. In case of a clear breakout, $90,000 and then $95,000 — the last peak in March — are in sight.
Ethereum: between technical consolidation and structural weakness
Ethereum, after recovering from $1,449, fluctuates between $1,650 and $1,700 in an uncertain consolidation channel. The RSI remains neutral, around 50, while the volume remains low.
Ethereum also benefits from the more favorable market conditions, but its performance continues to lag behind Bitcoin, with a decline of 65% from December's peaks.
ETH ETFs recorded $80 million in outflows last week, and the stagnant ETH/BTC ratio at 0.019 reveals a lack of conviction among investors.
Ethereum's return to the $1,499–$1,800 channel suggests stabilization, but the lack of a catalyst limits its upside potential.
As long as ETH does not sustainably surpass $1,700, it is wise to be cautious. In case of a pullback, critical support at $1,500, or even $1,300, may be tested.
Ripple: fragile recovery or temporary pause?
XRP seems to stabilize around $2.14, after surpassing the 200-day EMA at $1.95. A break at $2.23 could pave the way to $2.50, the last peak in March.
But the RSI, stuck at 50, indicates total indecision, and the threat of a return below the 200 EMA remains very real. In this case, $1.77 would serve as a support to be closely monitored.
As is often the case with Ripple, the regulatory factor remains an unpredictable unknown. Any statement from the SEC or market rumor could accelerate movements.
This week may seal the short-term fate of the three major cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin continues to be the market thermometer, and its direction will influence the trajectories of ETH and XRP. The macroeconomic climate with Trump, institutional flows, and technical levels converge this week to create a crucial moment for the cryptocurrency market.
