$LAYER Market Crash Warning! High Control + Market Value Bubble, Probability of Plunge Exceeds 60%
This is not alarmist rhetoric, let me explain to you step by step.
The LAYER trend is basically the same as the previous auction trend.
The project party has high control: a few people hold a large amount of tokens, making it easy to crash the market and trigger a plunge.
Overvalued Market Capitalization: Only 100 million locked funds, 400 million market value, the price may be severely hyped, lacking real support.
Project party can change unlocking rules arbitrarily: If the project party suddenly releases tokens, the risk of panic selling in the market is extremely high.
2. Technical Signals
Current volatility is low (amplitude 5.18%): It seems calm, but negative news could trigger a sharp drop.
Moving average pressure is significant: If the price remains below MA (14.36 million) for a long time, it indicates a lack of upward momentum.
Key support level 1.9: If it falls below, it may accelerate the decline.
3. Probability of Plunge
Short-term (1-3 months): If there are no favorable news, the probability of a plunge is 60%-70%.
Long-term: Depends on whether the project party improves rules and ecological development.
4. Operational Suggestions
Keep a close eye on unlocking news: Any changes could signal a plunge.
Stop-loss at 1.9: Act decisively to reduce positions, avoid deep losses.
Do not over-invest: This type of coin carries extremely high risk, keep positions within 5%.
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