April 15, 2025 BTC and ETH Market Analysis, Market:
1. Current price of BTC: 84,840 (Binance data), intraday fluctuation range $83,500-$85,500, testing the key resistance level of $85,000
Technical Pattern:
Daily chart shows bottom lifting, 4-hour MACD golden cross, RSI moderately rising to 60, not overbought
At the end of an ascending triangle pattern, if it breaks through $85,500-$86,000, the target is $87,500-$90,000; if it retraces, $82,800-$83,500 is strong support
Market Sentiment:
Institutions continue to increase holdings, a certain company recently purchased 3,459 BTC (worth $285.8 million) at an average price of $82,618
ETF fund net inflow recovery (+$130 million), net outflow of 3,200 BTC from exchanges, indicating an increased willingness to hold long-term
2. ETH Market
Current price: $1,641, intraday fluctuation $1,600-$1,700, ETH/BTC exchange rate 0.0193 (historical low)
Technical Pattern:
Daily chart shows range-bound fluctuations, $1,700 is key resistance, if broken, target $1,750-$1,850; support below $1,580-$1,600
MACD golden cross but momentum is weak, need ETH/BTC exchange rate to stabilize to confirm direction
Market Sentiment:
Institutional funds are cautious, Grayscale ETHE fund has zero inflows, market is looking forward to the Prague/Electra upgrade
On-chain active addresses increased by 8%, but DeFi TVL remains below historical highs.
3. Operation Strategy
BTC:
Breakout Long: If it stabilizes above $85,500, target $87,500-$90,000, stop loss at $83,500
Retracement Long: Enter after stabilizing in the $83,000-$83,500 support zone, target $85,000, stop loss at $82,000
ETH:
Breakout Long: If it stabilizes above $1,700, target $1,750-$1,800, stop loss at $1,620
Support Rebound: Long after stabilizing in the $1,580-$1,600 range, target $1,650-$1,700, stop loss at $1,550.
4. Overall Market Environment
BTC Dominance: Market cap share of 62.5%, funds concentrated, altcoins under pressure.
Macroeconomic Factors: U.S. inflation data meets expectations, market expectations for Fed interest rate cuts heat up, risk asset preferences improve
Summary: In the short term, focus on the breakout situation at $85,500 for BTC, and observe the resistance at $1,700 for ETH. The overall market is bullish, but be wary of high-level retracement risks, it is recommended to control positions (≤30%) and strictly set stop losses #比特币与美国关税政策
