•While the United States continues to show surprising economic strength, Europe struggles to find momentum and China faces a new slowdown. At the same time, trade frictions, sanctions, and military conflicts threaten to reconfigure global flows of capital, goods, and influence.
•Monetary policy responses remain fragmented. The U.S. Federal Reserve has kept its official interest rate between 4.25% and 4.50%, indicating that it is in no rush to cut it despite market expectations and political pressure. Chairman Jerome Powell warned that new tariffs on imports and Washington's industrial policies are creating unusually high uncertainty and could, simultaneously, drive up inflation and stifle growth.
•The meteoric rise in the price of gold has been one of the most notable financial events of early 2025. Gold has reached record levels as a result of growing geopolitical uncertainty and investor anxiety over inflationary pressures stemming from tariffs. Spot gold hit an all-time high of $3167.57 per ounce on April 3.
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