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【Analysis of U.S. Semiconductor Tariff Policy Dynamics】
I. Key Points of Policy Adjustment:
1. Latest Announcement from U.S. Customs:
- Temporary exemption for certain electronic products (mobile phones/computers) from tariffs
- Special semiconductor tariffs will officially take effect next month
2. Statements from Key Figures:
- Secretary of Commerce Raimondo emphasized that "the policy has a phased characteristic"
- Former President Trump stated via social media that "there is room for adjustment in the current policy"
II. Industry Impact Analysis:
1. Origin Certification Disputes:
- Chinese Customs clarified that "the wafer fabrication site is considered the origin of the chip"
- This has led to challenges in supply chain restructuring for some multinational companies (e.g., Texas Instruments)
2. Market Reactions:
- After China implemented a 34% reciprocal tariff:
• The capacity utilization rate of domestic semiconductor manufacturers significantly increased
• Companies like Yangtze Memory Technologies adjusted product pricing strategies (approximately 10% increase)
• A phenomenon of supply chain localization substitution has emerged
III. Industry Impact Assessment:
The current tariff policy is reshaping the global semiconductor supply chain landscape; it is recommended that the industry pay attention to:
1. Evolution of origin certification standards
2. Capacity allocation strategies of multinational companies
3. Secondary market price transmission effects