Latest Wind Direction | The Federal Reserve's Interest Rate Cut in May Remains Uncertain, Market Bets Caught in a Game!

The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the Fed's May meeting is currently 39.8%, while the likelihood of keeping the current rate unchanged still dominates at 60.2%.

Although inflationary pressures have eased slightly, the Fed has not budged, and QT has not completely ended.

Most institutions are currently choosing to wait and see or lightly position themselves, paying attention to the April CPI data and PCE indicators, which may become key variables for confirming direction.

Short-term volatility will continue to amplify, and amidst the turmoil, one should clearly see the critical line of trend turning points — smart money has already been positioning itself.