Bitcoin is expected to undergo a wave of fluctuating corrective market movements, with short-term prices oscillating between 82,500 and 83,800. The influence of news has temporarily dissipated, and both China and the U.S. are building their relationships. The Federal Reserve is currently just watching, while we await the execution results from the economic front.
At present, there are no major events on the macroeconomic front, but geopolitical risks have not calmed down. Negotiations between the U.S. and Iran are ongoing, and if they break down, according to Trump's previous statements, military action may be likely. Israel is leading the charge, with the U.S. providing support from behind. This is not a joke; the USS Eisenhower aircraft carrier has already moved close to the Middle East, and in recent weeks, several B2 bombers have been on standby at U.S. military bases in the Indian Ocean. This kind of geopolitical risk is like a ticking time bomb, capable of triggering market upheaval at any moment.
Overall, the market is currently in a very delicate phase. Positive news can lead to a short-term rebound, but there is significant pressure above; negative news could trigger sharp fluctuations, but there is also support below. In this environment, the best strategy is to control positions and not bet everything. It is advisable to strategically allocate mainstream coins, while being cautious with altcoins. Remember, in this kind of market, surviving is more important than making money. Once the trend becomes truly clear, it won't be too late to increase your positions.