Although the recent CPI data is good, the economy shows signs of contraction. The annual CPI data is below expectations, and the reason the Federal Reserve pursues 2% inflation is to prevent deflation and stabilize growth. Trump's 90-day pause on tariffs is just a breather.

At this stage, it's merely a rebound from the bottom, not a reversal. Currently, this is actually the beginning of a financial war, which has a significant impact on the overall market. From the current market situation, Bitcoin investors' sentiment remains relatively stable. The key for the future market still lies in when monetary policy can be loosened and whether the economy can improve, as this will determine whether Bitcoin transitions from a rebound to a reversal.

The credibility of Trump's statements is slowly deteriorating, meaning that the Federal Reserve no longer trusts him. Although the tariffs are paused for 90 days, there will still be much uncertainty during this period. Many are looking forward to the arrival of the altcoin season. Currently, the U.S. economy is in recession, and market liquidity is completely insufficient. Funds inside and outside the market are inactive and will take some time. Bitcoin is still in a phase of selling pressure, with significant sell-offs at the positions of 84000 and 88000. If demand remains insufficient, it will be difficult for the price to maintain high fluctuations. With that said, everyone should understand.

Many people are worried about Ethereum's repeated declines, with each peak continuously moving lower. Some even predict a three-digit price. I don’t think so; the market is just like that: it fears rises and fears falls even more, leading to increased panic. I believe the bottom for this round of Ethereum is between 1100-1200, which can be considered a significant bottom. The current optimal focus is on Ethereum's upgrade on May 2. Although the overall trend of Ethereum is relatively weak, I am still optimistic about each upgrade, as there will be a good trend in prices afterward. The operational suggestion for this year is to take phased swings and start accumulating coins after interest rate cuts. Do not harbor any short-term fantasies; this year, the interest rates will likely be cut 1-2 times, and coupled with the market's lack of active funds, it will be difficult to start a bull market this year. The 2% inflation target is expected to be reached by the end of 2026, so everyone should understand this.