Today’s lunch:
Yesterday, when all media opinions were almost one-sided in favor of the implementation and approval of ETF in January, a report published by a matrixport analyst reversely triggered panic, causing the market to rapidly fall from 45,000 points to around 40,000 points before rebounding. The entire network was liquidated with 600 million U.S. dollars, and almost all were bullish. Let’s first take a look at what the report says
The report said that the SEC would reject the approval of ETF in January and listed several reasons. I will not go into details here. However, the report also said that it may approve it in the second quarter, and it also said a lot about being wary of the risks of long-selling. It was also predicted that the price of Bitcoin would drop by 20% if rejected. Then the company executive (Wujihan) came out to smooth things over again.
When I looked at this, it looked exactly like the time when a media published false news that ETFs were being approved. It was exactly the same. First of all, I won’t comment on whether it’s a “rat barn” or not. Why don’t you just use some gossip and the like to talk about it? Even if you have gossip, why are you the only one who has it? Why don’t other media speak out? Second, the current market price is indeed dominated by news and expected speculation. About 12% of the price expectations have now been included. That is to say, if it really comes to fruition, whether it is rejected or approved, it will probably That’s the expected fluctuation of around $5,000.
It should be said here that all gossip is unreliable. Before the official and the parties (applicant) have accurate information, they can be regarded as rat warehouses. This wave is really harmful to contract users. At present, this news dominates In the market, spot goods are more stable.
Yesterday, a TRB-style dog market control operation appeared again, that is, PEOPLE. After the market dropped sharply, PEOPLE instantly increased by 7 times, and then fell back by 70%. This cannot help but make people think that it is the same as TRB. It is rare for a banker to control the market so obviously and control it twice in a row, so the risks are definitely getting bigger and bigger. You still need to pay attention to the fishtail market.
In terms of the big pie, contract positions have been reduced a lot, which is indeed more conducive to the rise of the market outlook, but it is difficult to judge whether it will directly V-reverse like the previous times, but this time we can slightly predict the price expectations after the implementation. Assuming that starting from 43,000 now, if the market fluctuates in the next few days, BlackRock’s node will arrive on January 10 next week. If passed, the acceleration may reach 48,000. If not, it may It fell below 40,000.If it continues to be postponed, then keep the status quo.
Yesterday, in addition to ENS and PEOPLE, which were called by V God, there were several currencies that remained strong during the decline. Basically, they all reversed directly, which shows that funds are paying attention in the short term. I have summarized a few currencies with good structures, respectively. It is SEI PENDLE SC SSV. You can also pay more attention in the short term in the future.
Today’s panic and greed index: 68 (greed)
