4.11 Wall Street Lunchtime Intraday Analysis

🔥 Current Structure Confirmation: Short Signal Strengthened

1️⃣ Hit the Trendline Resistance Level:

• The yellow trendline is still effective, the price touched the line and retreated, and the high points of three consecutive 1H candles failed to continue making new highs;

• This is a typical bearish supply zone reaction structure (the reversal POI area from the SMC perspective has been triggered);

2️⃣ Rebound Momentum Weakening:

• This pullback has shown candles with upper shadows, and the volume has not continued to be released, indicating that the main force has not chosen to break through here;

• Bulls are starting to hesitate, and the likelihood of inducing longs has significantly increased.

3️⃣ Symmetrical Pullback Structure is Obvious:

• Previous high + trendline = structural resonance point;

• The current rebound pattern is almost identical to the previous top structure, and it is very likely to re-enact the "rebound-inducing longs-downward" script.

Validation Conditions (Short Failure):

If subsequently:

• Volume breaks above 82,900;

• And closes above the trendline on the 1-hour level with more than 2 candles;

It means that the bearish scenario has failed, and the market will shift to a consolidating upward structure, at which point the consideration to go long should be made.

⸻

🔚 Summary in One Sentence:

The bear market has arrived, the inducement of longs is complete + trendline confirmation + weakening momentum = short is the priority, now is the first attack window. $BTC #加密市场反弹