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#CPI&JoblessClaimsWatch
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If CPI data shows inflation is lower than anticipated, it can signal that central banks, like the U.S. Federal Reserve, might ease monetary tightening (e.g., pause rate hikes or even cut rates). This typically boosts risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, because lower interest rates make borrowing cheaper and reduce the appeal of safe-haven assets like bonds. Investors may pour money into Bitcoin and altcoins, expecting a "risk-on" environment. For example, a softer CPI could weaken the U.S. dollar, further supporting crypto prices since many cryptocurrencies are priced against it.
HIGHER-THAN-EXPECTED CPI:
Conversely, if CPI comes in hotter than expected, it suggests persistent inflation, which could prompt central banks to raise interest rates or maintain a hawkish stance. Higher rates increase the cost of borrowing and make yield-bearing assets like bonds more attractive, often leading to a sell-off in riskier assets like stocks and cryptocurrencies. This can cause Bitcoin and other crypto prices to drop in the short term, as investors shift toward safer investments.