Now, in 2025, he's doing exact same thing
I analyzed his 2018 playbook and was shocked
Here's why Bull Run is over and when BTC hit $40K👇🧵
》1
❖ Trump is back in the White House, and so is the volatility
❖ In 2018 he triggered a trade war that crushed markets and sent crypto into a year-long bleed
❖ In 2025 he is repeating the same cycle, only this time it is larger, faster, and harder to contain
》2
❖ When Trump returns to power, markets react with optimism
❖ But soon after, the policies land, and risk assets start breaking
❖ Both in 2018 and now, crypto pumped first, but collapsed soon after
》3
❖ In 2018, the tariffs on China marked the start of a brutal bear market
❖ Bitcoin dropped from $20,000 to $3,000 and Ethereum lost more than 90 percent of its value
❖ Retail kept buying the dip, not realizing it was the start of a multi-quarter unwind
》4
❖ Now in 2025, Trump has announced a 125 percent tariff on Chinese imports
❖ China just responded with an 84 percent tariff on American goods
❖ This is no longer a negotiation, it is open economic warfare
》5
❖ Tariffs are not just about trade, they directly impact liquidity and sentiment
❖ They increase inflation, stress supply chains, and push central banks into defensive positions
❖ When fear enters the system, crypto is usually the first to get sold
》6
❖ In 2018 the Fed was hiking rates into the trade war, causing risk-off flows everywhere
❖ In 2025 the Fed has less flexibility, inflation remains elevated and political pressure is rising
❖ There is no room for rate cuts, and markets are already pricing in pain
》7
❖ Bitcoin has already fallen from $108,000 to $76,000 in recent weeks
❖ That move is not a healthy pullback, it is a structural response to global risk
❖ Without fresh liquidity, crypto cannot recover in this environment
》8
❖ Altcoins are starting to show early signs of collapse
❖ Meme coins are retracing heavily, Ethereum is underperforming, and volumes are drying up
❖ In 2018 altcoins led the downside and they are repeating that role again now
》9
❖ Retail remains in denial, repeating the same narratives about decoupling and resilience
❖ But macro forces are overwhelming everything, just like they did five years ago
❖ When capital exits globally, the highest beta assets fall the hardest
》10
❖ China’s retaliation is far more aggressive this time, compared to 2018
❖ Then they moved slowly and cautiously, now they have escalated immediately
❖ An 125 percent tariff is a declaration, not a tactic
#SECGuidance #SecureYourAssets #BinanceLaunchpoolWCT #CPI&JoblessClaimsWatch
