A fierce operation like a tiger, the ups and downs depend entirely on Trump.
This world is a bit too crazy; everything can be abolished in an instant. A common topic of conversation with people in the office these days is believing that Trump’s government can achieve 'changing orders overnight,' as it has happened more than once.
Trump pauses additional tariffs on all countries for 90 days! When Trump backs down, the global market can rise.
However! Trump will increase tariffs on China to 125%.
Trump: That last slap must be delivered by me.
After the news came out, the capital market not only ignored it but continued to rise...
If you missed the 7% quick rise of Bitcoin, there's really no need to blame yourself. This wave of market movement was not in the technical charts. Purely a statement from the 'king of understanding' ignited the emotions directly.
FARTCOIN
After hitting the first large order, the market begins to accelerate, targeting 0.8190. Recently, it has performed strongly, with an increase of up to 49.25% within 24 hours and a transaction volume reaching $3 billion, indicating market activity and investor interest. Community sentiment is positive, with whales frequently buying, showing optimism about future trends.
In the short term, if it can maintain above the current price, it is expected to continue to rise; in the long term, attention should be paid to the overall market trend and project development. It is recommended to allocate moderately in the short term and hold long-term for greater returns.
Tonight, the U.S. CPI data for March will be announced.
Currently, due to the 90-day tariff extension, the market has significantly reduced bets on interest rate cuts in May. To be honest, these traders are really too rational!
The good news is that, barring surprises, June will become the deadline since the Federal Reserve paused interest rate cuts! Currently, traders are betting that the probability of resuming interest rate cuts in June has reached 54%, looking quite stable;
And tonight's CPI is very likely to change this probability distribution!
If the CPI data is poor, is there also no hope for an interest rate cut in June?
For our risk market, this represents that the easing process will be paused for at most 3 months, and at least 2 months. Coincidentally, the tariff extensions from various countries happen to be 90 days, which seems more like a warning to the Federal Reserve—a ticking time bomb! If interest rates are not cut starting in June to July, then I, 'The Tax Emperor', will come back again!
Therefore, the optimistic scenario is that the CPI decreases, and the market expects a firm interest rate cut in June, making tariffs less urgent for Trump.
The pessimistic scenario is that the CPI rises month by month (I personally think this is very likely, as decoupling between China and the U.S. leads to this consequence), and the market becomes increasingly anxious about the 90-day deadline. The Federal Reserve, due to the rising CPI, repeatedly delays the time to cut interest rates. By June to July, the market will experience another round of recent panic...
Therefore, I think you should understand what to pay attention to in the rebound market over the next two months, right?
If the pessimistic scenario unfolds, the market will only rebound, no reversal! Only if the optimistic scenario unfolds is there any possibility of a reversal! (5%)?
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