Against the backdrop of the introduction of new trade tariffs by the USA, one of the most popular pools among participants of the Polymarket service has become the forecast of whether a recession will occur in the USA in 2025. Bets on this event were opened at the beginning of the year, when the probability of an economic downturn in the States was estimated at 20%. By April 1, it had risen to 39%, and by April 9 it is already 65%. Participants in the pool have bet over $2 million.
