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#大盘走势

Before Trump took office, he was a savior in the crypto world, but now he has become a disaster that everyone is criticizing. A series of jaw-dropping divine operations have thrown the capital market into a chaotic whirlpool, with U.S. stocks plummeting, A-shares crashing, futures commodities collapsing, and the crypto market crashing, presenting a doomsday scenario! Such is the way of the world; where there is yin, there is yang, both opposing and yet interdependent. The heaven next door could be hell... Trump’s move to use the 'no pain, no gain' strategy to force the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates is nearing its goal, and the turning point is approaching. Perseverance is victory!

Returning to the market, we have been emphasizing the importance of the 80000-81000 range, which has provided support multiple times. Unfortunately, due to internal and external troubles, the upward breaks have all ended in failure. Once we fell below this range, we advised everyone to significantly reduce their positions, avoiding the sharp drop to 74000, which is fortunate! In fact, we mentioned long ago that the most worth betting on position for a correction would be around 73000, and it seems we have basically touched that point. The current market still needs slight observation; Trump appears relentless, and it’s uncertain whether there will be even more outrageous policies released. Bitcoin is temporarily not following the downward trend, which is a good sign. From a technical perspective, a daily-level bottom divergence has emerged, supporting the possibility of this area becoming the bottom of this wave of decline. The only thing to note is that the bottom must be a range; do not think you can get the lowest price. The best strategy is to gradually replenish within this range! There is bad news as well; at this position, the likelihood of Bitcoin reaching new highs in the future has significantly decreased, at least this year will be very difficult. The biggest hope is only the altcoin season after the return of liquidity from interest rate cuts, so everyone should prepare mentally!

The strong support for Bitcoin remains unchanged at 70000-74000, with resistance at 80000-81000. Ethereum is relatively weaker compared to Bitcoin, and the Ethereum ecosystem is expected to be affected as well. Ethereum has several issues that are complex, making it difficult to establish an independent market trend, with support at 1410, 1290, and resistance at 1620. Overall, the dawn before the darkness is about to come; a liquidity market will eventually emerge. Hope still exists, and we must believe in the light!

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$BTC $SUI