Markets Are Bleeding Out.
And we’re only halfway down the cliff.
S&P 500 futures just nuked 22% — deep into bear territory.
$400B vaporized every day. For 32 days straight.
So… time to buy the dip?
Or is this the beginning of something worse?
Let’s break it down:
6147 to 4800 — A 32-Day Slaughter
Just over a month ago, the S&P hit all-time highs.
Now? It’s been ripped to shreds.
1,300+ points erased
Volatility detonated
Sentiment in the gutter
This isn’t a correction. It’s a reckoning.
Crypto Caught the Knife First
At 12:00 PM ET, crypto cracked.
By 5:00 PM, $200B gone. Just… gone.
Then at 6:00 PM — boom:
S&P futures dumped -6% on open.
That was the warning shot. Risk-off wasn’t just back — it was on full auto.
Trump's Tariff Game: No Mercy, No Deal
Everyone hoped for weekend peace talks.
Instead?
Silence.
Trump doubled down on tariffs. No handshakes. No backchannels. Just pain.
When asked about the selloff, he said:
“Sometimes you have to take medicine.”
Translation? He doesn’t care if markets scream. Not yet.
AAII Survey: Full-Blown Panic
Bullish sentiment: 21.8%
Bearish sentiment: 61.9% (3rd highest in history)
Last time it was this bad?
March 2009
October 1990
Most of those responses were even before the latest drop.
$VIX Blows Past August Highs
Fear index? Ripping.
This isn’t a calm unwind — it’s a panic spiral.
We were calling the selloff “orderly.”
Not anymore.
Even Gold Is Tapping Out
Gold had been mooning on uncertainty.
Now? Below $3,000/oz and dropping.
When even the safe havens are puking — that’s not normal selling.
That’s capitulation.
Retail Is Leaving the Chat
Friday morning:
Retail dumped $1.5B in 2.5 hours.
Biggest retail dump in history over that timeframe.
These guys were the "buy the dip" gang since 2022.
Now they’re folding too.
Institutions Already Fled
March 2025 saw one of the fastest exits from U.S. equities in years.
Now retail is chasing them out the door.
Everyone’s on the sidelines.
Cash is stacking up. Fear is maxing out.
There’s No Bounce Yet — That’s the Setup
15% down.
Zero relief rally.
Any decent headline — a tariff pause, a deal whisper — and this rips 5% in a day.
Risk/reward? Skewed as hell.
What the Tape’s Telling Us:
32 trading days of straight blood
Crypto got dragged down with it
Gold’s not a hedge — it’s dumping
$VIX breaking out
Retail + institutions are running
Bad news is fully priced in
And not a single real bounce. That’s not normal. That’s setup.
No Long-Term Bottom Yet — But a Relief Rally Is Inevitable
Even in ‘08, even in COVID — bear markets bounce hard before new lows.
That’s what we’re eyeing.
Not the end. Just the breather.
After weeks of short positioning, it’s crowded now.
Sentiment’s radioactive.
Volatility’s weaponized.
Rallies will be violent.
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