Original Blockchain Prophet On-chain Pioneer 2025-04-7

The Prophet uses data as a spear and logic as a shield, striking at the core of the crypto market!
This article does not constitute investment advice; DYOR (Do Your Own Research) is the survival rule.

Market Overview

Today, the crypto market faces a 'Black Monday' bloodbath! Over $1.3 billion in liquidations across the network, Bitcoin struggles at $85,000 in the triangle zone, while altcoins bleed profusely—Sui plummets 20% in a single day, and ETH whales face $100 million in liquidations! But hidden within the crisis is an opportunity: Hong Kong opens staking services to licensed institutions, Tether plots 'U.S. Exclusive Stablecoin', and the narrative of compliance rises against the trend!

Core Event Driven

  1. Regulatory Fragmentation:

    • Hong Kong SFC opens staking services to licensed institutions, intensifying the battle for Asia's crypto hub!

    • Tether is revealed to be secretly developing a 'U.S. Exclusive Stablecoin', directly betting against Trump's new policies, escalating the compliance game between traditional finance and the crypto world!

  2. Capital Underground War:

    • Kraken launches 'Black Gold Membership' service, offering institutional-grade data and low-slippage trading, as exchange stock fights enter a fierce battle!

    • Goldman Sachs reports that Hong Kong crypto practitioners have pushed luxury apartment rents up by 30%, as institutional funds infiltrate the real economy in alternative ways!

  3. Technological Revolution:

    • Pump.fun restarts live streaming function (first batch of 5% users), social trading and MEME speculation make a comeback!

    • CoinGecko releases 11th anniversary brand upgrade, launching 3D data dashboards and virtual mascots, as the data track enters a wave of entertainment!

Market Insight

Bitcoin: The Ultimate Showdown in the Triangle Zone

  • Technical Analysis: The 4-hour chart forms a symmetric triangle convergence, $85,000 is the lifeline for bulls and bears, if broken with volume, it targets $93,000, otherwise it risks falling into the abyss of $78,000!

  • On-chain Signals: Whale addresses increase their holdings against the trend18,000 BTC, but the derivative funding rate plummets to-0.03%,retail leverage panic emerges!
    The Prophet Warns:Bull markets often experience sharp declines, but the killing blow usually arrives in despair!

Ethereum: Liquidation Storm vs Staking Dividends

  • Bloody Data: An ETH whale incurred a $100 million loss due to DeFi position liquidation, but Hong Kong licensed institutions open staking, compliant funds may become a lifeline!

  • Ecological Game: Sui plummets 20% but TVL rises against the trend by 15%, Aptos ecological token AMI surges 45% at launch, high-performance chain war enters a reshuffling period!

Altcoins: The Survivor Logic in a Sea of Blood

  • MEME Survival Law: Pump.fun live stream restarts activating political narrative coins like DOGE2.0, TRUMP2024, but address poisoning attacks (Casa alert) expose 320,000 BTC to risk!

  • Compliance Dividends: RWA track leader ONDO resists downturn rising 8%, BlackRock's BUIDL fund scales over $1.5 billion, 'hard assets' become a safe haven for funds!

Macro and Under Currents

  1. Geopolitical Game: Trump's potential policy spurs the 'America First Stablecoin', USDT and USDC may face geopolitical fragmentation risk!

  2. Security Crisis: Bitcoin on-chain address poisoning attacks surge, hackers forge similar addresses to lure transfers, users need to enable address book whitelist feature!

  3. Technological Revolution: Nil Message Compute (NMC) technology commercialization accelerates, ZK proofs enter the 'Light Node as a Service' era!

Prophet's Conclusion

The 2025 crypto market is the ultimate battleground of 'Compliance Dividends' vs 'Barbaric Growth'! The battle in the Bitcoin triangle zone will determine the mid-term trend, while Hong Kong's opening of staking services reshapes institutional strategies, and the survival law for altcoins is reduced to one: either bind to compliance narratives or face extinction!

Position Strategy:

  • 50% Position: BTC + ETH (only buying the dip, not chasing highs)

  • 30% Position: Compliance Track (RWA, Staking Services, Institutional Custody)

  • 20% Position: USDT + USDC (never let your bullets run out)


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