Today, the cryptocurrency market is experiencing extreme risk-averse sentiment. AI has filtered out 28 key targets from 2612 cryptocurrencies, among which only 3 are recommended for purchase (#OKB, #X, #AUCTION), and 25 are suggested for sale (including #ATOM, #COMP, #USDD, etc.), with a maximum profit trade return rate of +22.14%. The market is under dual impacts from the aftermath of Trump's tariff policy and the plunge of the US stock market, leading to accelerated capital flow towards compliant exchange platform tokens and anti-inflation assets, while high-leverage agreements and eco-declining projects are facing concentrated sell-offs.
👉 Real-time verification: Data is updated hourly; please check the latest on-chain chip distribution at buyx.ink before operating. In extreme market fluctuations, it is recommended to prioritize high liquidity targets and strictly adhere to stop loss discipline.
1. Overall market trend: Policy shocks and technical breaches resonate
Macroeconomic storm intensifies risk-averse demand
Tariff impact deepens: The global tariff policy announced by Trump on April 2 has triggered a chain reaction, with the Nasdaq index falling 12% weekly, and the correlation between Bitcoin and US stocks rising to 0.68 (previously 0.45). The crypto market has become a disaster zone for risk asset sell-offs.
Dollar liquidity contraction: The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in June has fallen to 58%, the dollar index has risen to 94.5, Bitcoin has fallen below the key support of $82,000, and $466 million in liquidations occurred across the network in 24 hours (primarily long liquidations).
Compliant exchanges rise against the trend
Driven by the SEC's new stablecoin policy, compliant platforms like Coinbase and OKX have seen a 22% weekly increase in TVL, with #OKB's on-chain staking volume growing by 35% in a single day. OKX launched a 'zero-fee ETF zone' to attract institutional funds.
Non-compliant protocols (such as #LAYER, #USDD) are under regulatory scrutiny, leading to accelerated capital flight, with the supply of stablecoin USDC surpassing $60 billion, reaching a historic high.
Technical breach warning
Bitcoin's 4-hour RSI fell to 28 in the oversold range; if it loses $80,000, it may trigger $350 million in long liquidations; the Ethereum/BTC exchange rate fell below 0.02, hitting a new low since 2020, intensifying the liquidity crisis for altcoins.
2. Analysis of recommended buy tokens logic
1. #OKB : The biggest beneficiaries of compliance dividends
Policy advantage: OKX has completed EU MiCA certification, becoming the first trading platform to support the Euro stablecoin (OKEUR), with a 28% weekly increase in open futures contracts.
Capital accumulation: On-chain staking volume has surpassed $800 million, and the platform launched the 'Stake OKB to enjoy airdrop' activity, aiming to repair the $70 resistance level.
2. #X (X Network): Social token payment revolution
Scene breakthrough: Integration of Visa's cross-border payment module, with daily active users increasing by 18% weekly. 40% of transaction fees are used for token burns, forming a 'head and shoulders bottom' reversal pattern in the technical aspect.
Airdrop expectations: Collaborating with a subsidiary of ByteDance to develop a SocialFi module, with potential airdrop valuation reaching $120 million.
3. #AUCTİON : Leader in RWA auction track
Capital support: The decentralized auction protocol Bounce Brand has received strategic investment from BlackRock, with a 220% weekly increase in TVL, integrating functions for auctioning real assets like government bonds and gold.
Technical signals: Breakthrough at the $45 neckline, MACD weekly golden cross, aiming to challenge the $50 historical high.
3. Risk warning for suggested sell tokens
Regulatory crackdown type
**#COMP**: SEC classifies Compound V3 as 'unregistered securities,' with borrowing volume dropping 45% weekly and the technical level breaking the key support at $40.
**#USDD**: Decoupling risk rises to $0.95, with on-chain staking volume experiencing a daily loss of $180 million, and funds shifting towards compliant stablecoins.
Eco-declining type
**#ATOM**: Cosmos IBC cross-chain transaction volume decreased by 30% weekly; Theta upgrade did not boost developer confidence, and the price fell below the psychological level of $25.
**#EOS**: Active addresses decreased by 52% month-on-month, with core developers migrating to the Sui ecosystem, targeting a correction to $1.5.
Liquidity trap type
**#PEPE**: The number of holding addresses decreased by 25% weekly, the community's 'burn plan' failed, and RSI has dropped below the 20 oversold range.
**#FARTCOIN**: Solana ecosystem meme coin TVL decreased by 78% weekly, with project parties suspected of withdrawing funds, leading to a sharp increase in zero-risk.
4. Operational strategies and risk control suggestions
Position allocation
Core position (30%): Prioritize allocation to #OKB (policy dividend) and #AUCTION (auction track), with a stop loss set at 8%-10%.
Cash reserve (50%): To guard against the risk of Bitcoin retesting the bottom at $78,000, gold-backed asset #XAUT can be held as a hedge.
Key node response
Bitcoin stabilizes above $82,000: Increase position on the right side in #X, target increase of 10%-15%; if it falls below $80,800, liquidate high beta assets.
US CPI data release (20:30): If inflation exceeds expectations (>3.5%), short #COMP/#ATOM; if the data is mild, hedge #USDD exposure.
5. Today's monitoring indicators
Bitcoin key levels: Support at $80,000-$81,000, resistance at $83,500-$84,500.
On-chain data: Focus on the staking growth rate of #OKB and the transaction volume of #AUCTION.
Policy risk: The EU votes today on the DeFi regulatory framework draft, which may impact derivative protocols like #CRV.
Risk warning: Deviations in tariff policy execution, false breakout risks in Bitcoin's technical levels, and exhaustion of altcoin liquidity.
