$BTC Market Cycle Analysis: Key Observations#TrumpTariffs $BTC

Historically, during previous cycle tops (РІ), Bitcoin has typically tested or breached the 350DMA before entering prolonged corrections 🟢. Notably, this key signal has not yet materialized in the current cycle, suggesting the market peak may not yet be confirmed.

However, a concerning counter-indicator emerges if BTC sustains trading below the 111DMA for an extended period - such price action could signal the transition to a bear market. This dual dynamic creates an ambiguous technical picture:

1. Bullish Consideration: Absence of 350DMA touch implies potential for further upside

2. Bearish Risk: Prolonged sub-111DMA trading may indicate weakening momentum

The market currently sits at a critical juncture where these conflicting signals warrant close monitoring. Traders should watch for either:

- A decisive break above key moving averages to confirm continuation

- Or sustained weakness below 111DMA that could validate bearish concerns

‼️This analysis suggests we may be in a transitional phase where traditional cycle patterns aren't aligning perfectly with current price action.