Today's Bitcoin Ethereum strategy sharing.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) strategy key points
Key price range
Resistance level: $84,500-$86,000 (recent high points and daily middle track pressure)
Support level: $83,000 (short-term psychological barrier) → breaking may test $81,500-$81,600 (double bottom structure + 30-day moving average)
Current price level: approximately $83,800 (below the moving average convergence area MA7/MA30)
Trading signal
Long conditions: price stabilizes above $83,950 (above MA7/MA30) and breaks through $86,000 with volume
Short conditions: rebound to the $84,500-$85,500 range with light short position, stop loss set above $86,000; if breaking below $83,000 and volume increases, target looking down at $81,500-$80,500
Volatility strategy: high sell low buy in the $83,000-$85,000 range, stop loss outside of 2%
Technical indicators and market sentiment
The daily line has held the $81,000 defense line for three consecutive days, the MACD histogram shows an increase in bullish strength but has not formed a clear trend
Trading volume continues to shrink (364.09), significantly below the 5-day average (693.4), need to be cautious of large sell-off risks
Ethereum (ETH/USDT) strategy key points
Key price range
Resistance level: $1,840-$1,850 (short-term high points + Fibonacci 38.2% retracement)
Support level: $1,800 (psychological barrier) → breaking may test $1,750-$1,770 (daily low)
Current price level: approximately $1,813 (slight golden cross but below the moving average)
Trading signal
Long conditions: pull back to the $1,750-$1,770 range to try long, must be accompanied by a 4-hour candlestick closing signal or significant volume stabilization, target $1,800-$1,850
Short conditions: rebound to the $1,830-$1,850 range with light short position, stop loss above $1,870, target $1,800 → $1,780 → $1,750
Volatility strategy: swing trading in the $1,800-$1,840 range, stop loss after breaking $1,860 or dropping below $1,780
Market dynamics and risks
Whales are increasing ETH holdings at $1,894, on-chain address holdings are rising, but high leverage operation risks are high
4-hour Bollinger Bands opening downward, MACD bottom divergence showing potential for oversold rebound, but needs volume support
Comprehensive operation suggestions
Trend-following strategy:
Bitcoin focus on $84,500 breakout situation, Ethereum closely watching $1,850 resistance, add positions after breakout
If the price breaks below key support (BTC $83,000 / ETH $1,800), can lightly short and strictly stop loss
Risk management:
Control single trade risk within 2% of principal, stop loss reference outside support/resistance level of 1-2%
Current low volatility suggests light positions (5-10%), wait for trend confirmation before gradually increasing positions
Event-driven focus:
Evening US non-farm payroll data release (unemployment rate and interest rate cut expectations) may trigger volatility in Bitcoin and Nasdaq index
Progress of Ethereum staking ETF and Layer 2 ecosystem data (e.g., daily active users on Base chain)
Cited data source: the above strategies are integrated from multiple technical analysis reports, suggested to verify signals with real-time market conditions and news. #Bitcoin #Ethereum#投资需谨慎 