According to data from the Polymarket platform, the chances of a recession in the USA have risen to 50% as a result of new tariffs announced by President Trump on Liberation Day. The decision to impose tariffs on foreign goods provoked a sharp reaction in both traditional markets and the cryptocurrency sector.
New tariffs, set at a minimum of 10% for key US trading partners, have significantly increased economic uncertainty. The market forecasts of Polymarket, which gained popularity due to accurate election predictions, reflect the current pessimism among investors. The result of these actions is a decline in Bitcoin prices, as well as the search for new trade agreements by US partners who want to avoid the risks associated with unstable tariff policies.
Although there is a possibility of tariff reversal, the reputation of the USA has already suffered – and this may have long-term consequences for the global economy. Market observers emphasize that the current situation requires caution, and further actions by the administration could further impact global investment sentiments.