The future trend of Bitcoin in the next week faces a situation of long and short entanglement:
1. **Technical Pressure**: The current price is approximately $83,247, with short-term support at $80,000. If it breaks below, it may test the critical range of $72,000-73,000. The MACD shows weakening bullish momentum, and KDJ is overbought (RSI 76), indicating a risk of pullback, but the moving average system still supports a long-term upward trend.
2. **Macroeconomic Impact**: The US CPI data came in below expectations, with risk-averse sentiment driving funds into Bitcoin, but tariff policies and geopolitical uncertainties may exacerbate volatility. The Federal Reserve's dovish stance and expectations for interest rate cuts may ease market pressure, but caution is needed regarding the volatility brought by policy fluctuations.
3. **Cyclical Patterns**: The historical halving cycle has a correlation of 91% with the 2017 trend, and the lag effect may prompt prices to regain upward momentum. If it breaks through the resistance level of $84,000, it may trigger a short-term rebound.
**Conclusion**: The market is in a high-level consolidation phase. It is recommended to pay attention to the validity of the $80,000 support. If it stabilizes, it is likely to test the $84,000 resistance; conversely, one should guard against pullback risks. Investors should operate cautiously and monitor changes in macroeconomic data.