$BTC
Price Dynamics Overview
Key Breakthrough: BTC strongly broke through $83,000 early this morning, reaching a high of $84,032 at noon, with a 24-hour increase of 0.73%, but 100,000 leveraged players were liquidated, washing the market 6
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Box Range Fluctuation: Current price repeatedly tests the range of $81,200-$84,300, with $83,000 as the dividing line between long and short positions. The support level at $81,200 has been validated three times 5
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🏦 Institutional Movement Analysis
✅ Whale Bottom Fishing: MicroStrategy increased its holdings by 6,911 BTC, with a total holding exceeding 500,000 BTC, locking in a cost price of $66,632. The trend of public companies accumulating coins continues 5
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✅ ETF Undercurrents: BlackRock's IBIT attracted $1.45 billion in a single week, but there was a net outflow of $745 million in March overall, with some institutions taking profits from the rebound 3
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⚠ Policy Game: Trump's new tariff policy countdown on April 2. If the policy is aggressive, it may trigger a drop in BTC correlated with U.S. stocks, with an extreme pullback target of $50,000 6
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💡 Selected Trading Strategies
1⃣ Short-term Sniping: Lightly short in the pressure zone of $83,800-$84,300, with a stop loss set above $85,000; if it breaks out with volume, follow the trend to go long 8
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2⃣ Medium-term Defense: Place orders to buy in the support zone of $81,200, do not blindly stop loss if it falls below $77,000. Accumulation parties can dollar-cost average to lower costs 5
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3⃣ Event-Driven: Keep a close eye on the tariff policy on April 2 and employment data on April 4. Before any black swan event occurs, keep positions controlled within 30% 6
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🚨 Risk Warning
Leverage Crisis: BTC's market cap ratio rises to 62.15%, market liquidity concentrates on the top, and high-leverage contracts are easily targeted for liquidation 6
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Technical Hazards: The MACD is about to dead cross below the zero line. If a second bottom signal is confirmed on the daily line, it may trigger a bloodbath in altcoins 3
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🌟 Long-term Belief Recharge
Fidelity's research report targets $110,000, comparing it to the night before breaking $20,000 in 2020, with 70% of whale addresses locking in chips for over a year 3
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Bitcoin's correlation with Nasdaq reaches 0.5. If the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates three times this year, it may become a catalyst for breaking historical highs.
