📉 ETH records the largest drop in history for Q1 – Will April be different?
🔥 Q1/2025 is the worst quarter ever for Ethereum!
ETH dropped over 17% in March, making it the only Q1 in history where all three months saw declines:
January: -1.28%
February: -32.2%
March: -17%
📉 Comparing to 2018: Previously, the most pessimistic Q1 for ETH was in 2018, when the price fell by 23.6% in February and 53.7% in March. However, that year still had one month of price increase.
🧐 Signals from whales – Buy in or about to liquidate?
🔍 Are whales accumulating or preparing to sell?
The inflow of whales remains positive: Since March 22, the inflow from large holders reached 52,360 ETH (~100 million USD). This indicates that some whales are "buying the dip".
Unusual activity: An address that has been inactive for nearly 10 years just transferred 1 ETH. Although the amount is not significant, this could be a sign of a change in the behavior of long-term holders.
💥 Major liquidation risk
Two large whales are holding a total position of 125,603 ETH and will be liquidated if ETH hits 1,805 USD.
If the price drops below 1,800 USD, liquidation could trigger stronger selling pressure, pushing ETH down further.
📊 What scenario for ETH in April?
⚠️ Bad scenario:
📉 If market conditions do not change and whale positions are liquidated, ETH could fall to 1,800 USD, with some forecasts predicting it could go as low as 1,000 USD!
🚀 Good scenario:
📊 ETH has retested important support; if demand is strong enough, the price could recover. If whale inflows continue to remain positive, a rebound could occur.
⏳ Will April be a bounce back or continue to plunge? What do you predict? 💬