Brothers, pick up your keyboards and listen carefully! Today, Bitcoin's small positive line reached 84,500, and the dog dealer is playing the trick of "fellow villagers don't leave". I stared at the data on the chain and sneered three times. This little trick can fool young leeks, but it can't fool me, Lao Wang, who has been working in the contract market for ten years. Let's make a cup of blueberry coffee, light a cigar, and talk about how to survive in this bear market.
[Act 1: Dog Village’s Thousand-Layered Routine]
Looking at the abrupt little positive line on the market, novices are probably already excited and ready to go all in. But the old hands know that the dog dealer's harvest sickle is always double-edged. Has the bottom been built? I asked again, retail investors always remember to eat but not to be beaten.
Do you remember the routine before Luna crashed in 2022? At that time, it also first pulled out the shorts, and then directly closed the door and beat the dog after retail investors FOMO entered the market. The current on-chain changes are more worthy of vigilance: the top ten addresses transferred 120,000 BTC to the exchange within three days. This may be a signal flare for preparing to crash the market!
[Quantitative core weapon: Dugu Nine Swords of term arbitrage]
At this time, some brothers will ask: "Brother Wang, we can't just lie down and wait to be slaughtered, right?" Good question! Today I will teach you a trick of "time and space distortion" - term arbitrage. This is not ordinary hedging, but seizing the time and space cracks that are inevitably generated when dog dealers manipulate the market.
For example, now, when the premium of the current quarter contract suddenly expands to 8%, while the premium of the next quarter contract is only 3.5%, this is a godsend opportunity. We open long spot and short contracts at the same time, and take advantage of the premium bubble created by the dog dealer to steadily take advantage of the 4.5% price difference. As for the allocation ratio of the two products, it is a professional matter, and ordinary leeks should not study it blindly.
Last week, a second-tier stock exchange saw a crazy premium of 15%. Our AI robot completed cross-period arbitrage in 0.3 seconds and made a net profit of 3% in three days - this is much safer than fighting with the dog bank.
The essence of this move is that "Ai Ant Warehouse can achieve great results with little effort". The more the dog dealer jumps up and down to create fluctuations, the fatter our arbitrage space will be. It's like Tai Chi Push Hands, using the dealer's strength to hit them in the back.
[AI quantitative arsenal: countering the dimensionality reduction attack of dog dealers]
Relying solely on human resources to monitor the market? The market makers would have already cut off the profits! Our AI robots are money-printing machines that run 24 hours a day:
The most beautiful battle last week: When the dog dealer used 50 million US dollars to dump the market on Bitmex to create panic, our intelligent system instantly captured the Binance spot price difference, completed 23 cross-product arbitrage transactions in 0.8 seconds, and snatched 180,000 US dollars of meat from the dog dealer.
[Current Battle Situation: Is 84500 a Pie or a Trap? ]
Now let's go back to today's market. Looking at the 4-hour K-line that went up and then fell, I will draw three key points for you:
1. Abnormal funding rate: Despite the price rebound, the perpetual contract funding rate is still negative (-0.023%), indicating that smart money does not believe in this rebound at all
2. Distribution of chips on the chain: Glassnode data shows that there is a $4.7 billion lock-in in the 84,000-88,000 range, which is like a sword of Damocles hanging over your head.
3. Whale Movements: Another 32,000 BTC were transferred from cold wallets to Coinbase in three days. This is like an intercontinental missile ready for launch
Brothers, remember, the rebound in the bear market is all bloody chips. Our strategy is:
- Use 20% of funds to short the current season contract and get the premium return
- 30% of the funds are allocated for positive arbitrage in the next quarter contracts
- Keep 50% of the bullets, and wait for the dog bank to break through 68,000 to start the grid robot to pick up the bloody chips
[The Code of Wealth: The Law of Survival in Dancing with the Village]
Finally, the team leader gives you three words of truth:
1. When others are panicking, I take arbitrage; when others are greedy, I hedge
2. I weave nets at the door of Gouzhuang, and I catch fish when the waterfall comes.
3. In a bear market, people don’t compete on yield, they compete on who can survive longer
Remember, in this web3 market, you either become a hunter armed to the teeth with AI quantitative or become a fish on the chopping board of a dog dealer. What I said today is the truth that Lao Wang learned after losing 4 houses due to eight liquidations. At the same time next week, we will continue to reveal the "Foreign Exchange One-Yang Finger Arbitrage Slaughtering Technique", and ensure that all brothers can eat Tomahawk steak every meal in a bear market!
(The trading room was filled with smoke. I put out my cigar and turned around to continue hunting in front of the thirty-dollar computer screen. Outside the window, the bloody storm in the crypto world never stopped...)