### Technical Analysis:
1. Trend Judgment:
- Short-term: The current price (1,837.29) is between MA(7) (1,820.05) and MA(21) (1,836.80), with short-term moving averages converging, indicating a fluctuating pattern. MA(99) (1,952.61) is far above the current price, and the medium to long-term trend remains under pressure.
- Key Resistance: Pay attention to MA(99) (1,952.61) and the 24-hour high at 1,854.22; if broken, it may test the psychological level of 2,000.
- Key Support: 24-hour low at 1,777.79, if broken, it may test the 1,750 area.
2. Indicator Signals:
- KDJ: J value (88.07) is significantly overbought, with high risk of short-term correction.
- RSI(6): 57.32 (neutral to strong), but trading volume is below the 5-day/10-day average, rebound momentum is insufficient, need to be cautious of false breakouts.
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### Contract Suggestions:
- Short position strategy (conservative):
- Entry: If the price rebounds to 1,850-1,854 (near the 24-hour high) and faces resistance, or RSI enters the overbought zone (>70), one can short in batches, targeting 1,780-1,750.
- Stop-loss: Set above 1,860 to guard against sudden breakouts.
- Long position strategy (high risk):
- Entry: If the price breaks MA(99) (1,952.61) with volume, or stabilizes above 1,850 with significantly increased volume, one can try a light long position, targeting 2,000-2,100.
- Stop-loss: Set below 1,830 to avoid false breakout risks.
- Risk Control Tips:
- The current J value is overbought and volume is insufficient, it is recommended to control positions at 5%-10%, avoiding heavy positions chasing high.
- Pay attention to the validity of the 1,777 support level; if it breaks with volume, timely stop-loss is needed.
Conclusion: Short-term fluctuations are biased to the downside, it is recommended to focus on short positions, with strict stop-loss. If key resistance is broken and volume supports, one may follow up with long positions, but must enter and exit quickly.
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