Hello everyone, I am Xiao He.
Today is March 31, 2025.
Do not engage in contracts, value invest in spot.
This Binance account has a capital of 1.5 million, challenging to reach a total profit of 10 million in this bull market.
Today is the last day of March, and the first quarter of 2025 has finally ended; the clearing of leverage and liquidations of long positions in the first quarter have come to a close.
Spring goes and autumn comes, the seasons cycle.
The end of the cold spring, the B circle will eventually welcome the warm spring.
Yesterday someone asked me: 'Will Bitcoin break below 80k?'
I replied: 'Whether it breaks or not is not important, breaking below 80k does not mean a significant drop, what matters is to analyze the overall bullish and bearish forces recently.'
He said again: 'No matter what you say, it is falling now, and it will continue to fall next.'
I finally said: 'Whether it breaks or not is not the focus; the focus is on when the stopping signal appears, whether a stopping signal has appeared. If it breaks below 80k and you can't recognize the stopping signal, you will still continue to wait; the market rising has nothing to do with you.'
Some people may feel I answered but also feel I didn't; what I'm saying is just the truth.
And if it breaks below 80k, so what? If it drops to 79k and then shows a sign of stopping the drop, but you can't recognize that signal, you might think that breaking below 80k will lead to further declines; if 79k stops the drop, you will naturally continue to wait.
So, it hasn't broken below 80k, and there are already signs of a bottoming out, yet you are afraid it will drop to 80k, so you keep waiting.
No matter the situation, the ultimate strategy is 'to keep waiting.'
Thus, the issue is not whether it will break below 80k, but whether you can identify when the market will stop falling; otherwise, if it breaks below 80k, you will still worry about breaking below 70k, and if it breaks 70k, you will worry about breaking below 60k.
Wasn't Bitcoin's rise to 110k like this? The market fluctuated between 50-70k, dropped from 70k to 60k, then from 60k to 50k, and when it fell to 50k, many thought it would drop to 40k or 30k, only to see the market rise to 90k and 100k before they couldn't help but jump in.
In my articles from a couple of days ago, I discussed the trends of Bitcoin and Ethereum, how to determine bullish or bearish trends on a weekly basis, and how to assess short-term bullish or bearish strength on a daily basis; I made it very clear. In my view, I have a good direction for the upcoming market, but if you don't understand, you will fear it, hear various news, and see the market decline these past few days, leading to worries about further drops.
Especially since Ethereum has dropped to around 1700 again, many people are worried that Ethereum will break its previous low, and if it does, it will continue to plummet, leading to a massive drop.
However, if you can see the subtle hints in the entire fluctuating range:
You know what it means when there's a decreasing volume in a fluctuating range, you know what it means when the K-line body gradually shrinks, you know what it means when it hasn't broken a new low, you know what 'bottom oscillation' means.
You won't just blindly worry when you see the market drop.
However, in this information age, the more confused you feel inside, the more panic sets in; the more panic, the more you consult various people to find answers.
Often, being too anxious leads to mistakes and can deviate from the right path.
Because you will lack the ability to think and discern; you ask one person, who may have never made money in the B circle, a genuine loser, and you actually believe them.
Therefore, if you don't have the basic understanding, if you keep listening to unreliable sources in the community, and remain in a losing circle, you will only enter a death spiral.
