Overview

$BTC is trading at $82,577.57 on the 1D timeframe. A large descending channel has guided the broader downtrend, while a smaller ascending channel formed recently provided a brief relief, until price broke down from its support. Now, BTC is approaching two historically significant supports (around $78,000–$76,000) that have held over the past few days. Bulls must defend these levels to avoid further downside.

Technical Analysis

🔹 Bollinger Bands (1D): Upper ~$88,450, Middle ~$82,800, Lower ~$76,300 — BTC is flirting with the middle band, suggesting a pivotal zone.

🔹 MACD (1D): DIF -185, DEA -153, MACD -32 — Negative and widening, reflecting ongoing bearish momentum.

🔹 RSI (14, 1D): 38.20 — Hovering below 40, indicating continued selling pressure but not yet extreme oversold.

🔹 Stochastic (K/D, 1D): 32 / 28 — Mildly oversold; a bounce is possible if support holds.

🔹 OBV (1D): 29.77B — Volume flow suggests moderate selling; watch for a spike to confirm capitulation or reversal.

🔹 Volume (1D): 211.88M — Decent but not showing the strong surge typically associated with a major reversal.

🔥 Trading Signal: BTC/USDT 🚀

💰 Current Price: $82,577.57

🔹 Trend: Bearish

🔹 Timeframe: 1D

🔹 Support: $80,000 | Resistance: $85,000

🔹 Major Resistance Levels: $88,000, $90,000

🔹 Market Sentiment: Bearish

🔹 Buy/Sell Ratio: 40% Buy / 60% Sell

🔹 MACD Confirmation: Bearish Divergence

📊 Signal:

🔴 SELL/SHORT Entry: $82,500 - $83,000

🎯 Targets: $80,000 | $78,000

🟢 Stop-Loss: $85,000

🔥 Master Trade Setup:

🔹 A clear break below $80,000 with strong volume could accelerate the downtrend toward $78,000 or lower.

🔹 If BTC reclaims $85,000, it may invalidate the short setup and spark a relief rally.

🔹 RSI below 40 indicates sellers maintain the upper hand; watch for any bullish divergence on lower timeframes.

💬 Will $BTC hold above these critical historical supports to spark a rebound, or continue its descent within the larger downtrend?

🛡️ Risk Management

🔹 Risk 2-5% per trade

🔹 Stick to stop-loss

🔹 Aim 1:2+ R/R

🔹 Avoid FOMO & chasing

🔹 Adjust for volatility

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