Bitcoinโs (BTC) recent price action is raising concerns among traders after a Rising Wedge Breakdown on the daily chart, suggesting a potential major bearish move ahead. After reaching an All-Time High (ATH) zone of $110K-$115K, BTC is showing weakness, signaling a possible reversal.
In this article, weโll explore the following key aspects: โ Rising Wedge Breakdown and Bearish Pattern โ Key Levels to Watch for BTC โ Bearish Trade Setup with Entry, Stop Loss & Targets โ Market Sentiment and Psychological Impact
Letโs dive into the details and analyze what lies ahead for BTC! ๐
A Rising Wedge is a bearish technical pattern that signals exhaustion of bullish momentum, followed by a sharp downside correction. Hereโs how the pattern unfolded:
๐ธ Higher Highs & Higher Lows: BTC formed higher highs but struggled to break above key resistance, indicating weakening bullish strength. ๐ธ Converging Trendlines: The narrowing range of price action showed buyer exhaustion, with volume declining over time. ๐ธ Volume Drop: Decreasing volume further confirmed that the bullish trend was losing steam. ๐ธ Breakdown Confirmation: BTC broke below the lower trendline, confirming the bearish move.
The completion of this pattern suggests increased selling pressure and opens the door to a deeper correction. ๐
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2๏ธโฃ Key Levels & Market Dynamics to Watch ๐
๐ต Resistance Zone (~$110K-$115K) BTC reached its ATH resistance level but failed to sustain the breakout. Several rejection candles near this region confirmed strong selling pressure.
๐ข Support Zone (~$78K-$80K) BTC attempted to bounce off this support, but the move lacked strength. Buyers failed to maintain control, leading to a weak rally and another rejection at higher levels.
๐ป Major Bearish Target (~$48,920) Applying the Measured Move Theory, BTCโs potential downside target is projected around $48,920, which coincides with strong historical support.
If youโre looking to short BTC following this pattern, hereโs a well-defined bearish trade setup:
๐ธ Entry Zone: Between $85K-$90K after a retest of the breakdown zone. ๐ธ Stop Loss: Above $100K to invalidate the bearish structure. ๐ธ Take Profit Targets: โ TP1: $75K โ Minor Support โ TP2: $60K โ Psychological Level โ TP3: $48,920 โ Historical Support
๐ฏ Risk Management Tip: Since BTCโs price action can be highly volatile, itโs crucial to adjust your stop-loss dynamically to protect gains. Monitor price movements closely around the retest zones.
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4๏ธโฃ Alternative Bullish Scenario โ Can BTC Recover? ๐
Although the primary scenario suggests a bearish continuation, thereโs always room for unexpected bullish reversals. Hereโs what to watch:
๐น Bullish Reversal Above $100K: If BTC reclaims $100K+ with high volume, the bearish outlook is invalidated. ๐น Breakout Beyond ATH ($115K): A clean breakout above $115K would signal renewed bullish strength, paving the way for new highs.
Traders should remain flexible and adjust their strategy if bullish volume surges and invalidates the bearish setup. ๐
๐ Bearish Sentiment Taking Over: Rising Wedges often trigger a bull trap, where buyers anticipate new highs but get caught in a sharp reversal. The recent price action suggests sellers are now in control.
โ ๏ธ Potential Risks to Consider: ๐ธ False breakdowns can happen if bullish news (such as ETF approvals or favorable macroeconomic conditions) surprises the market. ๐ธ Keeping an eye on regulatory updates and institutional interest remains crucial.
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๐ฏ Conclusion โ Is Bitcoin Headed for a Deeper Correction?
BTCโs Rising Wedge Breakdown strongly suggests that the market is primed for a deeper correction. The bearish setup highlights short opportunities below $90K, with downside targets between $48K-$50K.
However, if BTC reclaims $100K+ with strong momentum, the bearish thesis is invalid, potentially driving the price toward new highs above $115K.
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๐ Trading Recommendation: Stay Alert and Manage Risk!
Monitor price action closely and ensure that your risk management strategy is aligned with potential market volatility. Adjust your positions dynamically to protect your portfolio. ๐จ
Would you like to explore more trading setups or dive deeper into BTCโs market structure? Letโs discuss! ๐ฅ
Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No financial advice. May include sponsored content.ย See T&Cs.
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