Will the altcoin season soon see a surge?

The Fibonacci signals released by Crypto Rover have set the crypto community ablaze—altcoins are currently stuck between the critical lines of 1 and 1.272, mirroring the trend before the 2021 bull market began. Back then, after breaking through the 1.618 line, the entire market skyrocketed from $240 billion to $1.8 trillion, but can we replicate that myth this year? Difficult! Bitcoin's dominance at 62% is holding it down tightly, and the altcoin season index is only 18, with all funds circulating in BTC, while the 'scissors' of market manipulators still hang overhead.

However, undercurrents are already stirring. Technically, the 1.618 'high-pressure line' is being closely watched by market manipulators, and the violent pump script from 2021 may replay. Moreover, this year, there's the new narrative of AI + RWA (Real Asset Tokenization) backing it up. BlackRock has been quietly scooping up ONDO, the leader in the RWA space, and the Trump administration is pushing for crypto policies. If the SEC approves the Litecoin ETF, market manipulators could instantly boost the altcoin market cap from $2 trillion to $9 trillion. The time window is closing fast—after Bitcoin's halving in April, if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates in the second half of the year, once hot money flows in, the altcoin season will follow the script: Q2 will focus on DeFi (watch SOL, BNB), Q3 will play with meme coins (DOGE, PEPE), and in 2026, it will bloom fully.

But don't rush to go all in! Bitcoin is currently stuck at $87,000; a stable hold at $100,000 will signal a charge. Spot traders should wait for BTC to break through before acting, focusing on coins like SOL and BNB that have institutional backing; contract traders are currently playing with fire, chasing after a total market cap over $2 trillion, and if it drops below $1.5 trillion, they should cut losses immediately—stop-loss must be strictly enforced. Meme coins are particularly toxic; the TRUMP coin, which Trump called out, is surging, but it can halve again and again when it drops, so if you make a profit, you must run and not look back.

On-chain alarms have not stopped—some giant whale just dumped 430 million DOGE into Binance, which is either a self-directed play by market manipulators or a signal of sensing regulatory black swans. Remember, the manipulators hold $2 billion worth of liquidation orders and can wipe out retail investors with just a prick. In the second half of 2025, altcoins will either be ignited by new narratives or become fuel for zeroing out; there is no middle option.

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