—— In-depth analysis of the impact of large APT unlocks, 3 strategies to help you safely navigate the storm!

🔥 Event Dispatch: Countdown to APT's Massive Unlock!

On March 27, 2025, according to the latest data from Token Unlocks, Aptos (APT) will unlock 11.31 million tokens on March 30, valued at approximately $2 billion, accounting for 1.92% of circulation. This unlock mainly comes from early investors and the core team, putting immense cash-out pressure on low-cost holders, and the market may face severe volatility!

Recent APT Performance:

- A 12% decline in the past 7 days, with prices under significant pressure;

- On-chain data shows that whale addresses have reduced their holdings by over 5 million APT in the past week, suspected to avoid the upcoming sell-off.

🔍 Impact Analysis: Three Major Shockwaves from APT Unlock

1. Short-term Liquidity Crisis

The $2 billion sell pressure is equivalent to 3 times the average daily trading volume of APT, and if released in a concentrated manner, it may lead to a short-term price drop of 15%-20%.

2. Market Sentiment Deterioration

The APT/BTC trading pair has broken through key support levels, panic selling may trigger a chain reaction, dragging down the Layer1 sector (such as SUI, SEI).

3. Ecosystem Project Related Risks

If the TVL (Total Value Locked) on the Aptos chain shrinks due to a drop in coin price, it may trigger a wave of liquidations in DeFi protocols, further amplifying the decline.

💡 Historical Reflection: How Token Unlocks Impact Prices?

- Large APT Unlock on October 2024: A 28% drop within 7 days post-unlock, with the market taking 2 months to recover;

- March 2025 STRK Unlock: After 64 million STRK are released, the price fell 19% in a single week.

Conclusion: Large unlocks usually accompany short-term declines, but the medium to long-term trend depends on project fundamentals and market conditions.

🚀 Retail Investor Risk Aversion Guide: 3 Practical Strategies

Strategy 1: Short-term Hedge (1-7 Days)

- Shorting Tools: Open APT/USDT short positions on Binance contracts, set stop-loss at 6%;

- Options Protection: Buy APT put options (strike price 10% lower than current price) to lock in downside risk.

Strategy 2: Rebalancing (1-4 Weeks)

- Shift to Defensive Assets: BTC, ETH (preferred by institutional funds for risk aversion);

- Positioning in low-circulation tokens: such as TON, RNDR (less unlock pressure, higher rebound elasticity).

Strategy 3: Waiting to Buy the Dip (1-3 Months)

- Key Support Level: APT's historical strong support at $5.8, if it falls to this area, consider accumulating in batches;

- On-chain Signals: Monitor whether whale addresses are re-accumulating (Tools: Nansen, Arkham).

⚠️ High-Risk Warning: These actions may lead you to lose all your investment!

- Blind Bottom Fishing: If APT loses the $5.8 support, it may drop to $4.3 (2024 low);

- Leverage Gambling: High-leverage contracts are prone to liquidation during extreme volatility, recommend leverage ≤ 5 times;

- Blindly Believing 'Bad News is Fully Priced In': Some tokens continue to decline for months after unlocking (e.g., 2023 ARB case).

📊 Long/Short Showdown: APT Future Trend Prediction

- Bearish Sentiment: Unlock selling pressure + weak market, APT may drop to $5;

- Bullish Sentiment: The Aptos ecosystem is active (over 2 million daily active users), a drop may present a golden buying opportunity.

📢 Poll Interaction: How will you respond to the APT unlock?

👉 Short Hedge 🆚 Bottom Fishing Ambush 🆚 Liquidate and Observe

📌 Conclusion: Seeking Excess Returns in Crisis

Token unlocks are both risks and opportunities. Smart money always positions itself during panic, but remember:

1. Position Control: Do not exceed 10% of total assets in a single cryptocurrency;

2. Information Verification: Monitor unlock progress in real-time via [Token Unlocks];

3. Long-term Perspective: If APT holds key support, the 2025 bull market may reach new highs.

Immediately share this article and follow the author to receive (Token Unlock Monitoring Sheet) for free!

(Risk Warning: This article does not constitute investment advice, proceed with caution.)

📚 Data Source

- APT Unlock Data: [Token Unlocks]

- Historical Price Analysis: [Sohu Finance]

- On-chain Position Monitoring: [Nansen]

💬 Comment Section Interaction: What is your cost price for APT? How are you planning to operate?