#SCDO #SCDO上币安

🔵 Real-time Market Overview

Current Price: BTC current price 87,935 USD (perpetual contract), 24-hour slight increase of 0.34%, intraday fluctuations exceeding 1,200 USD.

Key Levels:

Support Levels: 86,000 USD (4-hour midline) and 84,500 USD (daily Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level);

Resistance Levels: 88,500 USD (previous high pressure) and 90,000 USD (psychological barrier and concentrated trading zone).

Volume Signal: Trading volume decreased by 15% in the past 6 hours, price upward momentum is insufficient, short-term pullback risk needs to be cautious.

📊 Technical Analysis in Depth

1️⃣ Trend and Momentum

Bull-Bear Game: Daily MACD red bars shorten, RSI (76) although leaving the overbought area, has not formed a significant divergence, the market may continue to oscillate in the short term.

Key Structure: The 4-hour chart shows an “ascending triangle” pattern; if the price breaks through 88,500 USD, it may open up upward space; on the contrary, it may retest the 86,000 USD support zone.

2️⃣ Indicator Warning

Overbought Risk: 1-hour RSI (72) is close to overbought threshold; if the price cannot stabilize at 87,500 USD, the risk of technical sell-off increases.

Capital Flow: Open contracts increased by 12%, but the long-short ratio decreased to 1.2:1, showing a weakening of short-term bullish confidence.

🌍 Market Drivers

1️⃣ Policy Aspect

Fed's Dovish Signals: Market expectations for interest rate cuts are heating up, the dollar index drops to 102, liquidity improvement supports risk assets;

Regulatory Trends: The US SEC plans to tighten regulations on privacy coins, which may suppress altcoin enthusiasm in the short term, with some funds possibly flowing back to BTC.

2️⃣ Capital Aspect

ETF Fund Inflows: Asian crypto ETFs saw a net inflow of 420 million USD in one day, indicating active buying in Asia;

Whale Movements: Addresses holding 1000+ BTC increased by 3.7%, long-term holding willingness has strengthened.

Event-Driven: Before the release of US PPI data at 21:30, it is advisable to reduce positions and observe to prevent volatility caused by unexpected results.

⚠️ Risk Warning

BTC option implied volatility has risen to 45%, extreme market conditions may trigger algorithmic trading, please be cautious in risk control during operations.

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