Folks, unless something unexpected happens, the roller coaster is about to start again. The crypto market now resembles a Chongqing hot pot, with red oil boiling and all sorts of ingredients being thrown in. BlackRock's guys are publicly shouting compliance while secretly laying out exchanges, ETFs, and mining farms, clearly aiming to monopolize the entire industry chain. This is like when Goldman Sachs entered the oil market — hoarding goods first, then pumping prices, ultimately leaving the retail investors with nothing.

But let's not panic, the entry of large institutions at least indicates two points:

1. They see value in this platter 2. No one will die in the short term; the Federal Reserve is just trying to save face while suffering. Last year they lost $77.6 billion but are still stubbornly maintaining high interest rates. I say these suited fools will kneel eventually; the probability of a rate cut in June is already 81%. Right now, they're just being tough, but when the day of the rate cut arrives, Bitcoin will soar to $100,000 as if it's a game. However, the 'tariff war' is about to reignite, so be cautious before April 2, and don't let policy black swans catch you off guard.

Currently, the global powder keg collides with the butterfly effect of cryptocurrency, geopolitical black swans are flying everywhere, and the cryptocurrency market has become a new battlefield for risk aversion.
Just as news of a ceasefire in the Black Sea comes from Russia and Ukraine, oil prices drop in response, but don't think this means stability! Putin still holds the energy card, and the situation in the Middle East could explode at any moment. Now, global capital is like a startled bird; gold is rising, the dollar is strong, and Bitcoin is already in a sideways trend. What does this mean? It means that big funds are waiting for direction!

On April 2, the U.S. tariff hammer is set to drop. If China's foreign trade chain collapses, Asian capital may switch to U.S. dollars overnight to escape, and then the exchange will have a mountain of liquidation orders! Also, some say: Trump concept coin = New Era Tulip? Come on, man, this old guy Trump is trying to become a 'crypto superpower' while simultaneously cutting his own meme coin by $270,000.

Listen to political animals in reverse: the more they shout buy, the more sellers are offloading! Right now, the MEME coin market is in a regulatory vacuum; the SEC has clearly stated it doesn't care, but reckoning will come in no time. On the eve of global central banks unleashing liquidity, big sharks remind everyone to be cautious of liquidity traps. Japan has ended negative interest rates, the European Central Bank is dawdling, and now the most critical issue is the global dollar shortage. Emerging market currencies are plummeting, with the Turkish lira and Egyptian pound collapsing. The wealthy in these countries are frantically converting assets into Bitcoin.

This is why there have been frequent large transfers on-chain recently, but if the Federal Reserve really holds out until June to cut interest rates, altcoins could bleed out in April and May. Additionally, the shadow of Chinese whales looms large; a $20 billion black swan hangs overhead. The 194,000 Bitcoins seized from PlusToken are reportedly being sold again on the dark web, combined with RMB devaluation pressure. We cannot rule out that our side may sell off crypto assets to stabilize the exchange rate. However, everyone need not panic too much; the current situation for Bitcoin is that the big players are all in on it, with $80,000 becoming a new battlefield!

Looking at the data, Fidelity just swept up $60 million in Bitcoin, and BlackRock is pushing ETPs in Europe, with the top 70 institutions accumulating over 7,000 coins in a week. This is clearly telling you: anything below $80,000 is a bargain!

The technical double bottom pattern is evident; the big players are waiting to blow up short positions of $88,000 to $91,000. In the short term, the pressure at $90,000 is immense, but insiders from the sharks reveal that those Wall Street guys have already set their take-profit orders at $100,000.

Now let's talk about Ethereum, this waste. Sigh! A fallen aristocrat has a hard time bouncing back; $2000 is the line between life and death! Ethereum is now like the Jia Yueting of the crypto world, boasting extravagantly while actually flopping hard. TVL has been halved, whales are fleeing, and even the amount burned has hit a historic low. Worse, BlackRock is charging into Solana with BUIDL, leaving Vitalik's face swollen! Technically, $2000 is a critical point; if it breaks, we directly look at $1800. However, a skinny camel is still bigger than a horse; after all, it is the second largest in the circle, so there is still a chance to rise.

Altcoin sector, retail funds are playing with Trump's remnants; the 'dog season' still has to wait! Look at this surreal reality: yesterday Trump posted a meme, and within half an hour, the retail investors lost $270,000. This is more thrilling than Macau casinos! The altcoin index is now only 18, far from the bull market standard of 75.

Recently, chain abstraction has become very popular. The sharks can tell you that chain abstraction is an IQ tax, and MEME coins are experiencing a brief flash of brilliance!

Particle: Tsinghua team doing chain abstraction? Laughable! This track is just for VCs to scam funding; a valuation of 300 million is already too high; it peaks upon launch and then starts to halve. Navi: Sui chain leader lending protocol?

Sui is about to cool down; its TVL is still less than BNB's decimal. OK's current coin listing is purely a desperate measure; jumping in is like catching falling knives.

Layer: Hardware SVM is being praised to the skies; the essence is just to flatter the Solana ecosystem. It's already been driven to new highs, so short it quickly; the team's token unlocking date is when it hits zero. Cheems: BN is pushing community voting for coin listing, clearly looking for a scapegoat. A $400 million market cap Dogecoin dares to surge? Remember the iron law of MEME coins: BN peaks upon listing; double your money and run without looking back.

If you don't want to get cut, it's fine to heed the advice of the sharks: 1. Don't touch coins that have never been in the top 50 on CMC, 2. Any altcoin with a market cap exceeding Dogecoin is a scam, 3. When playing MEME, look for those that haven't faced a sell-off yet, or wait until this wave of crashes to buy the dip!

Key focus: AI + Depin track (especially where BlackRock is laying out), RWA concept (Fidelity is secretly buying), and as for Trump concept coins, it's best to stay away. The core point of eating meat is position management. You must understand that position management is a life-and-death line; follow the smart money to drink soup!

Don't believe in any 'eternal bull market' nonsense; remember, when the big shots are secretly offloading, that's when you should buckle up. Always respect the market; trend-following is our unbreakable trading rule. Otherwise, no matter how flashy your moves are or how much capital you have for averaging down, those who swim against the current will eventually vanish in the torrent of the trend, leaving you confused and with a wrecked account.

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