1. The cyclical law of the crypto world: Great heat and great cold, the fate of bull and bear alternation.
“After great heat, there must be great cold; remember, this is a law.” — (Blossoms)
The bull and bear cycles in the crypto world are like the changing seasons, with surges as frenzied as summer and drops as biting as winter. Each market fluctuation tests investors' understanding of cycles. As the character in the play says: 'It takes only 8.8 seconds to jump from the top of the Empire State Building, but it takes an hour to climb up,' the collapse in the crypto world is often faster than the rise. True winners know to leave an escape route during the frenzy and to lie low and gather strength during winter.
2. The transformation story of three wallets in the crypto world: Assets, leverage, and community valuation.
“A man should have three wallets: real money, credit, and the money in others' eyes.” — (Blossoms)
In the crypto world, your first wallet is your spot holdings, the second is your contract leverage and borrowing capacity, and the third is the community's 'belief valuation' in you. Blindly pursuing high leverage (the second wallet) or being addicted to community flattery (the third wallet) will ultimately lead you to become the protagonist of the 'zero scenario.' A reasonable allocation should be: 70% long-term holding of valuable coins (like BTC, ETH), 20% for flexible response to fluctuations, and 10% reserved as a 'lifeboat.'
3. The philosophy of leaving a hand: The ultimate weapon against black swans.
“If I knew where I would die, I would never go there.” — Charlie Munger (quoted in (Blossoms))
Black swans in the crypto world are never absent: Exchange explosions, regulatory raids, code vulnerabilities... 'Always leave a hand' is the iron law of survival. For example:
- Leave cash reserve: Never go fully invested; keep 10%-20% cash to deal with extreme market conditions;
- Information filtering: Shield against community noise and independently verify project fundamentals (such as on-chain data, team background);
- Exit mechanism: Set a hard stop-loss line to avoid self-hypnosis of 'zero belief.'
4. Time compounding: Engage in slow thinking in a fast-paced environment.
“Today's sun cannot dry tomorrow's clothes. Time determines everything.” — (Blossoms)
The crypto world pursues '100-fold speed riches,' but those who truly traverse cycles are often 'friends of time':
- Long-termism: ETH took 8 years to evolve from 'air coin' to ecological empire, while BTC has been the market cap king for 13 years;
- Dollar-cost averaging strategy: Invest monthly in mainstream coins to smooth out cost fluctuations and avoid FOMO chasing highs;
- Anti-fragile allocation: Allocate 5% of your portfolio to high-risk innovative sectors (like DeFi, AI + blockchain), to seize opportunities without harming your foundation.
5. Mental energy game: Maintain 'silence' in a frenzied market.
“Silence is the highest form of wisdom.” — (Blossoms)
The mental energy consumption in the crypto world far exceeds technical analysis:
- Exhausted do not trade: Staying up late to monitor markets easily triggers irrational actions; sleep is the moat for decision-making;
- Emotion isolation: Do not inflate during profits (as many did during the 2021 bull market leading to zero due to arrogance), and do not chase losses (rejecting the gambler's mentality of 'all-in to save the market');
- Rules above all: Formulate a trading plan and execute it mechanically, such as 'no single asset holding over 20%' and 'if daily volatility exceeds 30%, a cooling-off period is mandatory.'
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Conclusion:
The crypto market is the 'Yellow River Road' of the digital age, filled with myths of sudden wealth and bottomless abysses. But (Blossoms) has already unveiled the secrets:
“The market is always right; the only one who is wrong is yourself. The head is on the shoulders, and the feet are on your own.”
Click to follow ❤️
With the wisdom of (Blossoms), cultivate the 'silent' determination through ups and downs, capturing the vitality of 'leaving a hand' within cycles.
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