Indicators of upward movement (probability of rise)

✅ Strong support at 76,560 USDT: BTC has already tested this area and reacted, suggesting there are buyers defending this level.

✅ Recovery above 82,000 USDT: The price is trying to maintain this range, which may indicate a possible upward reversal.

✅ Increasing trading volume: During some recovery moments, there was an increase in volume, suggesting buyer entry.

Indicators of downward movement (probability of fall)

⚠️ Trend still undefined: Despite the recent reaction, BTC has not yet managed to overcome important resistances (such as 89,468 USDT and 96,725 USDT).

⚠️ Declining volumes in the last candles: This may indicate that the buying strength is not as strong as it seems.

⚠️ Strong resistance in the range of 95,000 USDT: If BTC fails to break this region, it may test lower supports again.

Higher probability of rise or fall?

In the short term (next few days), the trend seems to be sideways, with equal chances of rise or fall, depending on new breakouts.

In the medium term, if Bitcoin stays above 82,000 USDT, there are more chances of recovery.

If it loses support at 76,500 USDT, it may seek even lower regions (such as 74,000 or 70,000 USDT).

📌 Summary: The scenario is still indecisive, but with a slight upward bias, as long as BTC manages to stay above 82,000 USDT and break 89,500 USDT in the coming days.