#特朗普数字资产峰会演讲

【Bitcoin 'Trump Market' Risk Warning】

Market Movement: Trump's speech at the Digital Assets Summit triggered a sharp fluctuation in BTC, with an intraday volatility of 8%. After breaking through 85k, three major risk signals emerged technically: ① RSI overbought (78.6) and MACD divergence; ② 3.2 billion short contracts below the 84,500 support level; ③ BTC net inflow on exchanges surged 270%, suspected short-term arbitrage.

On-chain Movement: Glassnode data shows that the non-liquid BTC supply reached a new low for 2023 (28.4 million), with whale addresses reducing their holdings by 17% within a month, and exchange reserves rising to 12.3% (close to the historical median of 12.8%), indicating that main funds may be preparing to exit.

Risk Operation Suggestions:

1. News Verification: Immediately verify the authenticity of the White House official website and the Digital Asset 2025 Summit;

2. Technical Defense: Set a stop-loss line at 83,500, and observe whether the trading volume can stabilize at 40 billion USD;

3. Regulatory Warning: The SEC has requested exchanges to strengthen monitoring of abnormal trading, and Hong Kong will hold a seminar on virtual asset stablecoins.

Historical Lessons: Similar 'event-driven' markets have an average pullback of 9.7% over the following 3 days, so be cautious of whale address movements and social bots manipulating public opinion. It is recommended to enable abnormal trading alerts on exchanges and configure multi-layer stop-loss strategies (e.g., 85k→83k→80k). The current market shows obvious characteristics of volatility; be cautious when chasing highs. $BTC