A simple analysis of my own views is also a way to sort out my own ideas. The conclusion of the market view is also the cornerstone of my subsequent operations.
1. The market is in a bull market and has not turned bearish. Let me talk about my views.
I think that last March was the second wave of the market, and there has been a correction since then. This round of bull market will have and only one main rising wave in the future, which is the largest one. The next time the market sentiment is high and extremely fomo, it is time to slowly exit. And when to start shorting, if you want to say when, for example, Pepe's market value has reached 20 billion market value. Why take this as an example, because I benchmark it against Shib in the last bull market.
The most direct external condition for the bull market is the Fed's massive money release, and there is more hot money in the global stable market. It is estimated that the bull peak will appear before the end of this year. It is hard to say which month it will be.
2. Fund allocation, half of the position is used for contracts, and half for spot. The positions of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Sol are almost the same. In addition, if Ethereum falls to 1,800 in the future, it will be bought again, and then recharged to buy spot. Sol was sold after being trapped and released. All the ether was invested in the coin-based grid to earn coins. It is also trapped now. The bitcoin was bought recently and cashed out. It was transferred to the btccore wallet and will not move. Ether will not be sold, only the coin-based grid will be used. After the market fomo, the coin-based short grid will be opened. The rest of the spot currently has some trump that was trapped before. It will not move and will be sold when it rises. Another plan is to buy some Pepe and big cousin's mubarak. Now there are contracts that will be converted into spot after the contract is closed. It is optimistic about the future. Other coins will not be bought. A small part of the funds will be freed up to play the first-level PVP occasionally.
3. About your subsequent contract operation plan.
Continue to have a low leverage, not more than 2 times, long-term long, short-term short, long coins with a basic market. Consider long-term shorting after fomo. The standard for long-term shorting is the market value mentioned first, Pepe is about 20 billion. This kind of long-term shorting will not be deeply trapped in the future and will be untied quickly.
This is my view on the market and my own operation ideas.
If you have different views, you can contact me online. Hahaha.
Friends who have read it, please pay attention. It is not easy to type for personal sharing. By the way, enter my transaction and simulate the order. You don’t need to follow the simulation.