$ETH ### ETHUSDT 4h Market Trend Analysis
- Current Price: 1965.56 USDT
- 24-Hour Change: 3.780%
- Major Support Level: 1885.81 USDT
- Major Resistance Level: 1994.51 USDT
- Current Trend: Fluctuating Slightly Bullish
#### Detailed Explanation:
- **Technical Indicators Overview**:
- **Moving Average System**: MA5=1926.99, MA10=1913.61, MA20=1908.68, MA120=2068.75. Short-term moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA20) are in a bullish arrangement, and the current price is above the short-term moving averages, indicating a short-term bullish trend. The long-term moving average MA120 is still above the current price, showing that the long-term trend has not fully turned bullish.
- **MACD**: DIF=1.39, DEA=-3.20, Histogram=4.59. MACD shows a golden cross, and the histogram continues to enlarge, indicating that bullish momentum is strengthening.
- **BOLL**: Upper Band=1949.02, Middle Band=1908.67, Lower Band=1868.33. The current price is close to the upper band, indicating that the market is in a strong zone, but caution is needed regarding the upper band pressure.
- **RSI**: RSI6=61.37, RSI12=55.42, RSI14=54.02, RSI24=49.21. The RSI indicator is in a neutral to slightly bullish zone and has not entered the overbought range, indicating that there is still room for upward movement in the market.
- **KDJ**: K=69.60, D=59.44, J=89.92. The KDJ indicator shows a golden cross, and the J value is close to the overbought region, indicating strong upward momentum in the short term.
- **Indicator Data**:
- **Funding Rate**: 0.01000000%. The funding rate is at a neutral level, showing no significant bullish or bearish sentiment.
- **Volume Change**: Recent trading volume shows a trend of gradual expansion, especially when prices rise, indicating high market participation and strong bullish forces.
- **Capital Flow Data**: Net inflow of funds in contracts is positive across 4H, 6H, and 8H cycles, showing continuous inflow into the contract market, supporting price increases. Spot market shows a net outflow of funds, indicating that participants in the spot market may be taking profits, but the inflow into the contract market is sufficient to support prices.
#### Analysis Results
- **Direction**: Cautiously Bullish
- **Entry Timing**: It is recommended to enter when the price retraces to the 1930-1940 USDT range, as the price is close to short-term moving average support, presenting lower risk.
- **Stop-Loss Setting**: The stop-loss level is set at 1890 USDT, with a stop-loss ratio of about 3% to control risk.
- **Target Price**: The target price is set at 2040 USDT, with an expected return rate of about 5%.